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《業績前瞻》券商對美團(03690.HK)料中期經調整淨虧損收窄至逾55億人幣 聚焦與騰訊合作指引
美團-W(03690.HK)將於下周五(26日)公布今年中期業績,4月至5月內地核心城市疫情下令消費者出門意願下降,令旗下到店及酒旅等業務受拖累,但預期美團閃購增長佳及社區團購業務虧損可於第二季減少下,本網綜合15間券商預測,美團2022年上半年非國際財務報告準則經調整淨虧損料介乎47.08億至61.2億元人民幣,較2021年同期經調整淨虧損61.09億元人民幣,按年收窄22.9%至擴大0.2%;中位數淨虧損55.86億元人民幣,按年收窄8.6%。 綜合10間券商預測,美團2022年上半年虧損料介乎76.81億至99.73億元人民幣,較2021年同期虧損82.03億元人民幣,按年收窄6.4%至擴大21.6%;中位數虧損90.34億元人民幣,按年擴大10.1%。 綜合15間券商預測,美團2022年上半年收入料介乎900.28億至958.18億元人民幣,較2021年同期807.75億元人民幣,按年增加11.5%至18.6%;中位數956.53億元人民幣,按年升18.4%。市場關注美團近期業務恢復動力及下半年業務展望,成本削減速度及對本地服務領域競爭情況的看法,投資者亦將關注美團與主要股東騰訊(00700.HK)業務合作、導入流量等關係的最新指引。 【受疫情所拖累 關注騰訊合作】 摩根士丹利預測,美團中期非國際財務報告準則淨虧損54.88億元人民幣,按年收窄10%,料中期收入957億元人民幣,按年升19%。該行預期美團旗下外賣業務於第二季每日交易量4,000萬宗(按年升3%及按季升7%,相關營運毛利率12.5%,按年升1.9個百分點及按季升5個百分點),外賣業務次季收入260億元人民幣按年升12%(按季升8%),並預期對商戶補貼減少下經營溢利按年升33%至32.51億元人民幣,料美團次季到店及酒旅業務經營溢利27.53億人民幣(按年跌25%及按季跌21%)。。 野村預測美團中期非國際財務報告準則淨虧損58.04億元人民幣,按年收窄5%,料中期收入900.28億人民幣,按年升11.5%。該行料美團旗下外賣業務次季收入按年升12%,料相關部門經營溢利按年跌25%至27.53億元人民幣;該行料美團到店,酒店及旅遊業務次季收入料按年跌20%,相關部門經營溢利料按年跌25%至28億元人民幣,主要受收入減少影響。該行料美團新業務於今年第二度收入料增37%至164.84億人民幣,估計次季新業務經營虧損80.07億元人民幣(料按年收窄逾13%及按季收窄逾11%),受惠社區雜貨業務虧損減少。 ---------------------------------------------------------------- 本網綜合15間券商預測,美團2022年上半年非國際財務報告準則經調整淨虧損料介乎47.08億至61.2億元人民幣,較2021年同期經調整淨虧損61.09億元人民幣,按年收窄22.9%至擴大0.2%;中位數淨虧損55.86億元人民幣,按年收窄8.6%。 券商│2022年上半年非國際財務報告準則經調整淨虧損預測(人民幣)│按年變幅 中金│47.08億元│收窄22.9% 東方證券│51.44億元│收窄15.8% 花旗│52.03億元│收窄14.8% 申萬宏源│52.86億元│收窄13.5% 摩根士丹利│54.88億元│收窄10.2% 里昂│55億元│收窄10% 工銀國際│55.12億元│收窄9.8% 招商證券國際│55.86億元│收窄8.6% 瑞信│56.47億元│收窄7.6% 匯豐環球研究│56.86億元│收窄6.9% 招銀國際│57.21億元│收窄6.4% 國海證券│57.86億元│收窄5.3% 野村│58.04億元│收窄5% 建銀國際│60.9億元│收窄0.3% 中銀國際│61.2億元│擴大0.2% 美團2021年上半年非國際財務報告準則經調整淨虧損61.09億元人民幣計算 ---------------------------------------------------------------- 綜合10間券商預測,美團2022年上半年虧損料介乎76.81億至99.73億元人民幣,較2021年同期虧損82.03億元人民幣,按年收窄6.4%至擴大21.6%;中位數虧損90.34億元人民幣,按年擴大10.1%。 券商│2022年上半年虧損預測(人民幣)│按年變幅 東方證券│76.81億元│收窄6.4% 花旗│91.22億元│擴大11.2% 摩根士丹利│86.78億元│擴大5.8% 中金│82.99億元│擴大1.2% 里昂│94.14億元│擴大14.8% 工銀國際│89.46億元│擴大9.1% 招銀國際│89.32億元│擴大8.9% 瑞信│94.14億元│擴大14.8% 建銀國際│98.32億元│擴大19.9% 中銀國際│99.73億元│擴大21.6% 美團2021年上半年虧損82.03億元人民幣計算 ---------------------------------------------------------------- 綜合15間券商預測,美團2022年上半年收入料介乎900.28億至958.18億元人民幣,較2021年同期807.75億元人民幣,按年增加11.5%至18.6%’中位數956.53億元人民幣,按年升18.4%。 券商│2022年上半年收入預測(人民幣)│按年變幅 花旗│958.18億元│+18.6% 中金│957.85億元│+18.6 申萬宏源│957.69億元│+18.6%% 瑞信│957.51億元│+18.5% 摩根士丹利│957.36億元│+18.5% 招商證券國際│956.69億元│+18.4% 國海證券│956.69億元│+18.4% 東方證券│956.53億元│+18.4% 里昂│956.25億元│+18.4% 工銀國際│955.61億元│+18.3% 招銀國際│953.36億元│+18% 瑞銀│948.09億元│+17.4% 中銀國際│947.83億元│+17.3% 建銀國際│946.18億元│+17.1% 野村│900.28億元│+11.5% 美團2021年上半年收入807.75億元人民幣計算
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