“三桶油”走高 機構普遍認為年底國際油價將會再度被推高
格隆匯8月12日丨港股市場“三桶油”走高,其中,中國海洋石油漲2.66%,中國石油化工漲1.64%,中國石油股份漲0.86%。由於石油供應增加以及對經濟前景惡化的擔憂加劇,國際油價此前已從6月的峯值(120多美元)下跌至目前的90多美元,但近日國際油價出現反彈跡象。有業內人士指出,此前原油的回調行情已過度考慮世界經濟減速,呈現過度下跌狀態,進入秋季以後市場的關注焦點有可能轉向供應隱憂。由於中國和印度的進口增加,俄羅斯的原油生產目前並未像市場早先預期的那樣減少,但到12月份,歐洲對俄羅斯生產的原油禁運將生效,俄原油產量下降的可能性很大。另外,歐洲到冬季出現天然氣供不應求的隱憂也很突出。由於替代天然氣的需求增加,包括原油在內的整體能源價格有可能再次被推高。高盛表示,汽油和原油價格到年底期間料反彈,因為市場依然需要在需求升和供應緊之間建立平衡。布倫特原油期貨價格最高可能會達每桶130美元,美國汽油零售價會回到每加侖5美元左右。

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