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恆生(00011.HK)薛俊昇料下半年本港經濟將較上半年好轉
阿思達克 08-01 17:31
恆生銀行(00011.HK)經濟研究部主管兼首席經濟師薛俊昇表示,第二季本港經濟較首季回升,預計下半年本港經濟表現會較上半年有所好轉,但具體經濟復甦速度仍要視乎外圍環境、主要央行收緊貨幣政策速度及未來疫情發展而定。 他指出,今年第二季本港經濟錄得按年跌幅,主要反映外圍環境轉差的影響,近月歐美經濟出現放緩跡象,影響環球貿易活動,本港進出口貨量按年跌幅有所擴大。環球不明朗因素增加,加上息口趨升,也窒礙了本地消費及投資復甦的步伐。該行預期,環球經濟不景氣及主要央行進一步收緊貨幣政策,將繼續是下半年本港經濟要面對的下行風險;憧憬政府推出消費券等刺激經濟措施,加上防疫措施有望逐步放寬,或有助零售銷售市道持續改善。
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