華熙生物(688363):經營提質增效 助力Q2業績持續改善
業績預覽1H22 扣非淨利潤同比增長34%華熙生物發佈業績快報:1H22 收入29.36 億元,同比+51.6%,歸母淨利潤4.70 億元,同比+30.5%,扣非淨利潤4.10 億元,同比+34.0%;其中2Q22收入同比+45%,歸母淨利潤同比+30.1%,扣非淨利潤同比+36.4%,超出市場預期,主因公司化粧品業務持續兑現高速增長,疊加精細化運營驅動盈利能力改善進程超預期。重申我們在近期發佈的深度報吿《經營提質拐點已現,全球生物科技龍頭啟新篇》中的邏輯,並看好公司作為全球生物科技平台龍頭的廣闊成長前景,重申Top Pick 。關注要點1、化粧品延續高增勢頭,多品牌、全渠道、強產品力優勢助力未來成長。分業務看:1)1H22 功能性護膚品收入同比增長超過75%,我們測算單Q2同比增長約60%-70%,主要受益於公司明星單品孵化、多元渠道佈局、品牌建設持續顯效,帶來四大品牌表現優異;“618”大促延續強勁增長態勢,其中,潤百顏位列618 抖音護膚類目銷售額Top10,誇迪618 全渠道銷售額同比+156%,位列天貓國貨美粧Top3,米蓓爾618 全渠道銷售額同比+199%,BM肌活618 天貓旗艦店銷售額同比+187%。2)1H22 原料業務同比實現約10%增長,其中單Q2 受疫情拖累我們預計略有下滑,但短期波動不改公司原料板塊核心優勢,關注下半年改善趨勢。3)1H22 醫療終端業務同比略有下滑,單Q2 疫情影響疊加公司主動戰略升級帶來短期調整,蓄力中長期可持續成長。2、精細化運營持續推進,盈利能力拐點邏輯進一步兑現。在Q2 公司原料、醫療終端兩大高盈利板塊承壓情況下,公司2Q22 仍實現16.1%的淨利率水平,自4Q21 以來呈持續提升態勢(4Q21/1Q22 分別為11.7%/15.9%)。我們認為,公司盈利能力向好拐點顯現,印證了公司經營提效已迎來數據端的持續兑現,表明C端美粧品牌業務在具備高成長性的同時,亦具備中長期可持續、健康盈利能力。3、看好公司作為全球生物科技平台龍頭的廣闊成長前景,重申Top Pick。公司2021 年以來積極佈局合成生物學前沿技術、加速人才團隊引進,我們認為有望打開新的成長空間。其中,自主研發的人源膠原蛋白已完成關鍵技術突破,正同步開發終端產品;2022 年4 月收購北京益而康生物,加碼佈局膠原蛋白市場。我們看好公司作為全球生物科技龍頭的技術研發與產品化優勢,及多元業務佈局的廣闊成長潛力,重申Top Pick。盈利預測與估值維持盈利預測,當前股價對應2023e 53x P/E。維持跑贏行業評級和目標價184 元,對應2023e 63x P/E,較當前股價有20%的上行空間。風險行業競爭持續加劇;產品質量問題;新品孵化進展不及預期。
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