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ARK持倉追蹤 | 黃金、美元、收益率均發出通縮信號

【Ark旗下基金持倉變化小結,2022年07月15日】

ARK Invest的首席執行官兼首席信息官“木頭姐”Cathie Wood認爲美聯儲過快加息是一個錯誤。

Wood表示,通脹仍然是一個短期問題。她在週二的網絡研討會上表示,當投資者開始密切關注黃金、美元和美債收益率的交易情況時,這一點就變得清晰起來。她說:“我們認爲美聯儲一直在犯一個政策性錯誤。我們看到了各種催化劑,美聯儲應該停下來。如果不暫停,整個政策可能因此出現轉向和逆轉。市場告訴我們他們犯了一個錯誤。”

6月,美聯儲加息75個基點至1.5%-1.75%,這是自1994年以來最顯著的一次加息。7月下旬,芝商所的預測工具FedWatch以90.6%的概率預計美聯儲將再加息75個基點。

當前美國通脹率達到40年高位。最新的CPI數據將於美東時間週三上午公佈。

然而,Wood認爲美聯儲應該擔心通貨緊縮的力量,她指出:“有各種各樣的通縮信號,我們認爲,這將迫使美聯儲調整和扭轉其政策。”

通縮信號來自黃金、美元、收益率、石油和銅的交易模式。

通常被視爲通脹對衝工具的黃金已跌破每盎司1723美元的水平,在過去三個月中下跌了約12%。Wood指出,這種交易模式不意味着通貨膨脹。

她說,黃金一直是“最可靠的通脹指標之一”,並且已“跌至其價格區間的底部”。在談到金價時她表示:“在我看來,這將證實通貨緊縮是更大的風險,而不是通脹。”

①ARKK:以顛覆性創新產業爲主要投資標的

②ARKQ:以自動科技自動機器人技術爲主要投資標的

③ARKF :以金融科技創新爲主要投資標的

④ARKW:以"下一代網絡"爲主要投資標的

⑤ARKG:以生物基因科技創新爲主要投資標的

ARKX: ARKX是美股市場裏的第一支太空概念ETF。

【uSMART目前支持部分美股10倍槓桿日內交易】

以上數據爲Cathie Wood個人/所在機構的過往操作,其交易背後之投資邏輯並不明確,不代表投資建議,注意風險。

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