荷蘭合作銀行:俄羅斯石油禁運或將歐元區推入衰退
格隆匯5月31日丨對俄羅斯海運石油的禁令,加上已經高企的通脹和巨大的供應鏈壓力,將把歐元區推入經濟衰退。荷蘭合作銀行預計,歐元區經濟將在2022年底或2023年初進入衰退。在翹尾因素影響下,預計2022年歐元區經濟將增長2.2%,2023年將萎縮0.1%。禁令不會導致持久的能源短缺,但取代俄羅斯石油進口還需要時間,油價幾乎肯定會走高。荷蘭合作銀行補充稱,歐元區經濟增長預測受到不確定性的影響。
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