大新銀行:本港今年全年出口增長或放緩至個位數
大新銀行高級經濟師溫嘉煒預料,今年全年的出口增長有可能放緩至個位數水平。他指出,本港4月貿易表現有所改善,出口重拾增長,按年上升1.1%,優於該行預期的2.2%跌幅;整體貿易逆差略為收窄至366億元。
他認為,俄烏衝突及內地疫情對環球貿易的影響,於今年上半年持續;隨著內地疫情逐漸受控,或紓緩內地與香港供應鏈的壓力;而本港疫情回穩也可望為貿易活動帶來支持。主要央行收緊貨幣政策以及地緣政局等因素,可能會限制香港貿易的增長空間。
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