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《即日市評》離岸人民幣穿6.8關 港股向下 內房股弱勢
受科網股跌勢拖累下,港股今日向下。美國4月通脹率8.3%超出預期,美國紐約聯儲前總裁杜德利指美聯儲需上調利率至5厘以壓抑通脹,美股道指及納指各跌1%及3.2%,執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率跌至2.841厘,美匯指數升至104.32,美股道指期貨最新跌155點或0.49%,納指期貨最新跌0.97%。摩通亞洲區貨幣指數下滑0.52%至102.38,離岸人民幣兌美元失守6.8關口創2020年9月以來低位,人民幣即期收跌626點報6.7900兌一美元。上證綜指今日跌3點或0.12%收3,054點,深證成指跌0.13%,滬深兩市成交額共8,213億人民幣。 今早港匯觸及弱方兌換保證,金管局承接15.86億元沽盤。港股隨外圍下跌。恆指低開267點,早段跌幅曾收窄至93點見19,731點,其後跌幅曾擴大至481點見19,342點,全日跌444點或2.24%,收19,380點;國指跌174點或2.58%,收6,594點;恆生科技指數跌154點或3.84%,收3,864點。大市全日成交總額1,156.25億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入39.31億及30.76億元。 美電動車股特斯拉(TSLA.US)急挫逾8%,內地新能源汽車股急吐,小鵬(09868.HK)及蔚來(09866.HK)各跌9.2%及9.9%,理想(02015.HK)跌7.2%。 【金管局入市 小鵬蔚來吐】 科技股下滑,美團(03690.HK)、騰訊(00700.HK)及阿里巴巴(09988.HK)股價各跌2.7%、1.8%及6.6%,而小米(01810.HK)全日股價下挫5.8%收10.36元。大和發表報告指,小米將於下周四(19日)公布首季業績,考慮到近期疫情及地緣政治發展,將今年小米智能手機出貨量由2.05億部下調至1.83億部,預期供應鏈問題持續下,硬件業務將繼續面臨逆境。 大和引述Canalys數據指,小米首季全球智能手機出貨量下跌20%至3,900萬部,低於預期的4,300萬部,當中主要受到疫情、芯片缺貨及俄烏衝突進一步加劇的影響,估計供應鏈正常化的時間表可能推遲到下半年。該行將小米目標價從16元下調至12元,重申「跑贏大市」評級。 【跌股千四隻 內房股受壓】 港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為8比34(上日23比17),下跌股份1,449隻(跌幅3.3%),恆指成份股今日5隻股份上升,下跌股份59隻,升跌比率為8比89(上日為59比33);大市今日錄沽230.74億元,佔可沽空股份成交額953.61億的24.196%(上日為23.846%)。 人民幣匯價走弱,內房股下跌,合景泰富(01813.HK)股價跌12.2%,旭輝(00884.HK)及雅居樂(03383.HK)各跌7.9%及7.6%,碧桂園(02007.HK)挫6.9%。瑞銀發表報告表示,該行近期已下修美元兌人民幣匯價至2022年年底預測至6.9水平,並評估人民幣匯價貶值對各內房股市值及現金流的敏感性分析,假設人民幣匯價每貶值5%,料影響(香港及內地上市)內房股市值預測11%、對內房股的現金流影響為0.8%。
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