植耀輝: 美股續波動納指急挫 港股短期考驗19,200點
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股隔晚(11日)再度大幅波動。開市早段受4月CPI數據高於預期影響而低開,惟科技股反彈,三大指數亦由跌轉升;不過聯儲局官員又再發表鷹派言論,利淡投資氣氛,三大指數又再轉跌。其後跌幅又再進一步擴大。最終道指下跌326點或1%,收報31,834點,標普亦跌1.7%。而納指跌幅更大,下跌373點或3.2%,收報11,364點。
港股方面,受A股造好帶動,加上新經濟股反彈,恆指一度重上20,000點之上,不過隨著科技股從高位有所回落,大市升幅亦陸續收窄,最終恆指上升190點,收報19,824點,成交1,261億元。成份股中,車股表現出色,吉利(00175.HK)及比亞迪(01211.HK)股份分別上升6.8%及8.5%,生物科技股亦見反彈,藥明生物(02269.HK)上升6.5%。不過內房股表現則較差,龍湖集團(00960.HK)、中海外(00688.HK)及潤地(01109.HK)跌幅介乎1.9%至3.2%,為表現最差成份股。
由於隔晚美股又再度急挫,港股今日恐又會低開,如A股能維持升勢,料會為港股帶來一定支持。不過整體氣氛依然不明朗,特別是通脹及經濟衰退陰霾持續困擾投資情緒。預期恆指或會再考驗19,200點水平。
(筆者為證監會持牌人,並未持有相關股份)
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中概股沽壓沉重 恆指仍未能擺脫尋底之格局
耀才研究部稱,美股隔晚(11日)反覆回落,美國4月CPI仍高於預期,數據公布後美股表現反覆,三大指數曾一度倒升,但多隻大型科技股沽壓沉重,美股尾段沽壓加大,三大指數迫近全日低位收市,納指收市最終仍跌逾3%。加密貨幣市場亦表現動盪,「龍頭」比特幣再度跌逾三萬關口,穩定幣之一的TerraUSD(UST)繼美國財長耶倫點名批評後,隔晚再挫逾90%,令部分市場人士認為加密幣背後沒有任何基本價值,泡沫風險逐漸增加。
港股ADR全線下跌,中概股沽壓較大,阿里巴巴(09988.HK)及京東(09618.HK)ADR較港股收市價仍跌逾6%,「黑期」今亦跌逾300點,料恆指今早將下試19500點關口。外圍股市走弱,港元匯價亦觸及7.85弱方兌換保證水平,在外資流出的憂慮下,中港股市於短期後市仍較難獨善其身。
技術上,恆指至今仍未有打破浪低於浪的格局,即使恆指於5月10日低見19,178點後反彈,但由於反彈乏力,一日恆指未重越10天及20天線之前,走勢上仍未能過份樂觀。一旦恆指再度跌穿4月27日低位19,665點,指數仍有可能於短期後市內再創月內新低。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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