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恆生(00011.HK):香港未來數季經濟前景仍面臨挑戰
阿思達克 05-04 10:25
恆生銀行經濟研究部主管兼首席經濟師薛俊昇預計,下半年本港經濟表現會較上半年改善,但具體經濟復甦速度仍要視乎環球經濟情況、主要央行收緊貨幣政策速度及未來疫情發展而定。 薛俊昇表示,首季本港經濟收縮,反映了內外不同因素的影響。外圍方面,環球經濟增長放緩,加上供應鏈問題似乎再度加劇,令本港實質出入口下跌。本地方面,受之前疫情影響,消費及投資俱見轉弱。該行認為未來數季本港經濟前景依然面臨不少挑戰。環球經濟放緩或會持續,意味對外貿易貨量增長可能繼續轉弱。 他提到,主要央行加快加息,或會削弱企業投資意欲。不過,近期本港疫情轉趨穩定,加上政府推出消費券等刺激經濟措施,可望有助零售銷售市道有所好轉。
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