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《大行報告》高盛:內地降外匯存準金率料釋放70億美元流動性 短期緩減人幣貶值
阿思達克 04-26 08:46
就人行昨晚公佈自5月15日起,下調金融機構外匯存款準備金率1個百分點,即外匯存款準備金率由現行的9%下調至8%。高盛發報告表示,這將有助於增加外匯流動性,從而降低人民幣貶值的壓力。 該行指,雖然今次下調金融機構外匯存款準備金率對中國外匯流動性的實際影響很小,據該行估計,截至今年3月的在岸外匯存款爲7,270億美元,因此下調外匯存款準備金率1個百分點,意味着釋放70億美元(約549.34億港元)的流動性,相比之下過去一年通過商品貿易平均每月流入270億美元的外匯。但該行指上述舉措顯示人民銀行在對貨幣的快速貶值後的取態,釋出強烈的政策信號。 展望未來,高盛預計此次降準短期內將緩減人民幣貶值,雖然仍需取決於廣泛的美元路徑和市場整體對中國經濟增長的看法。長期來看,該行認爲內地出現大規模不受控制的資金外流的可能性仍然很低。
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