《即日市評》人民幣走弱 恆指「五連跌」失守兩萬關
市場關注內地疫情及人民幣匯價弱勢,上證綜指挫5%,恆指今日失守兩萬關。美聯儲局主席鮑威爾稱下月有可能支持加息半厘,美股道指上周五跌981點或2.8%;執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率回落至2.826厘,美匯指數升至101.51,美股道指期貨最新跌326點或0.98%,納指期貨最新跌0.95%。摩通亞洲區貨幣指數跌0.46%至104.83,人幣即期收跌669點至6.5544兌一美元創一年新低,上證綜指今日跌158點或5.1%收2,928點,深證成指跌挫6.1%,滬深兩市成交額共8,969億人民幣。
恆指今早低開353點,午後曾跌854點一度低見19,784點,全日跌769點或3.73%,收19,869點(五連跌,累跌共1,648點或7.7%);國指今日跌287點或4.13%,收6,684點;恆生科技指數跌194點或4.87%,收3,806點。大市全日成交總額1,348.43億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入1.35億及7.98億元人民幣。
【恆指失兩萬 中海油捱沽】
中資股普遍受壓,騰訊(00700.HK)及美團(03690.HK)今日股價分別下滑3.9%及2%,而中海油(00883.HK)股價挫7.3%,海底撈(06862.HK)股價走低15.8%。摩根大通發表策略報告表示,當在首季業績期尋找投資機會之際,宜關注美聯儲局「放鷹」及中國新冠疫情的發展。該行指亞太股市近期錄連續第三周下滑,特別是中國在岸市場(滬深300指數跌至3月中低位)及離岸市場(MSCI中國指數跌6.8%),明顯跑輸,相信是投資者擔心內地疫情惡化及缺乏明顯刺激政策。
摩通表示,部份投資者的憂慮令其撤出相關市場,該行認為市場情緒或令相關市場的底部延長,並留意到資本外流加快,亦導致人民幣兌美元匯價走弱。
【跌股千六隻 招行挫一成】
港股今日市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率為5比38(上日19比19),下跌股份1,635隻(跌幅4.4%),恆指成份股今日3隻股份上升,下跌股份62隻,升跌比率為4比94(上日為44比55);大市今日錄沽空288.26億元,佔可沽空股份成交額1,159.75億的24.856%(上日為24.066%)。
建行(00939.HK)全日股價下滑近2.5%,招行(03968.HK)股價下挫10.3%收46.7元。中紀委上周五(22日)公布招商銀原黨委書記、行長田惠宇涉嫌嚴重違紀違法,目前正接受中央紀委國家監委紀律審查和監察調查,市場擔心招行或面臨不明朗因素,匯豐環球研究關注招行未來增長策略、資產質素及公司治理等。
麥格理表示,招行今年首季每股盈利遜市場預期,指招行開始降低儲備以支持利表現,相信其經調整股本回報率處結構性下降情況,重申對其「跑輸大市」投資評級,下調目標價9%至41元,相當預測今年市賬率1.1倍。(wl/u)
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