中國平安(2318.HK)放榜後獲多家大行看好 目標價最高上望至83.17港元
中國平安3月17日公佈2021年全年業績。2021年,平安整體業績保持穩健增長,實現歸屬於母公司股東的營運利潤1479.61億元,同比增長6.1%;營運ROE達18.9%。 平安注重股東回報,持續調高現金分紅,向股東派發全年股息每股現金人民幣2.38元,同比增長8.2%。公司於2021年8月啟動新一輪股票回購方案,截至2021年12月末已回購約7777萬股,共計近39億元。
業績發佈後,目前分別有瑞信、美銀證券、大摩、瑞銀、野村對中國平安給出了最新評級。其中:
瑞信:維持“跑贏大市”評級 目標價73港元
美銀證券:維持“買入”評級 目標價77港元
大摩:維持“增持”評級 目標價73港元瑞銀:維持“買入”評級 目標價78港元
野村:維持“買入”評級 目標價83.17港元
瑞信:去年總派息增幅超經營溢利增長 評級“跑贏大市”
瑞信發研報指,中國平安去年新業務價值(VNB)按年下跌23.6%,主要是由於利潤率收窄,與該行預測一致。報吿稱,中國平安財險經營股本回報率為15%,綜合成本比率按年改善(下降)1.1個百分點至98%,符合該行預期,表現較上市同業優勝。平安去年税後經營溢利按年增長6.1%,符合瑞信預期。瑞信表示,預期今年税後經營溢利前景較為艱難,但去年總派息按年升8.2%至2.38元人民幣,增幅超越税後經營溢利的增長,對此感到驚喜。瑞信表示,考慮到去年業績表現及今年首季展望具挑戰,將2022至2023年每股盈利預測下調6%及5%,目標價從76港元下調至73港元,維持“跑贏大市”評級。
美銀證券:估值不高及穩定派息 評級“買入”
美銀證券發研報指,中國平安去年純利1016億元人民幣,按年跌29%,低過該行預期,公司去年税後營運溢利升6%至1,480億元人民幣,每股股息升8%至2.38元,高過預期。該行表示,將中國平安2022至2023財年盈利預測下調7%至8%,主要由於對公司收入及減值調整。將其2022年新業務價值預測下調15%,但2023至2024年則維持增長10%的預測。美銀證券將中國平安目標價由81港元降至77港元,維持“買入”評級,認為該股估值不高及穩定派息,具防禦力。
大摩:營運利潤及派息為股價提供支持 維持“增持”評級
大摩發研報指,中國平安去年新業務價值下跌24%符預期,營運利潤及派息仍按年升6%及8%,為股價帶來一些支持。該行認為市場仍關注中國平安的保險經紀改革,該行維持對中國平安的“增持”評級及73港元目標價。
瑞銀:壽險改善出現成果的初步跡象 評級“買入”
瑞銀指,中國平安去年第四季營運利潤按年跌5%及實際新業務價值按年跌24%,略勝該行預期;綜合成本率為98%亦勝預期。該行又指,中國平安壽險改善出現成果的初步跡象,首批直銷店貢獻10%新業務價值增長。瑞銀予其“買入”評級及目標價78港元。
野村:2021年税後經營利潤符該行預期 評級“買入”
野村發報吿表示,中國平安去年税後經營利潤按年增長為6.1%至1,480億元人民幣,符合該行預期,當中經營淨資產收益率按年降1個百分點至19%;派息為2.38元,增8%,高於該行預期。該行維持中國平安“買入”評級,目標價由85.56港元下調至83.17港元,並預測集團在2022年的營運利潤增長為3%,而該股現價相當於今年預測內涵價值比率的0.6倍,及股息收益率5.1%。
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