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大行每日評級 | 小摩維持港交所超配評級

瑞信:予友邦保險(01299.HK)跑贏大市評級 目標價下調至102港元瑞信發佈研究報告稱,予友邦保險(01299.HK)跑贏大市評級,計及去年業績及調整今明兩年預測,將2022及23年每股盈測下調2%,以固定匯率計,下調今年新業務價值增長預測至10%,主要反映香港及內地首季表現疲軟,目標價由104港元下調至102港元。

摩根大通:下調新華保險(01336.HK)目標價至15港元 評級減配摩根大通表示,維持新華保險(01336.HK)減配評級,並將目標價由17港元下調至15港元,反映該行對新華保險新業務價值的下調。該行稱,業績重點在於如何分配公司資產的策略,過去數年,公司在淨儲蓄保單銷售下,銷售額大幅增長,該行預期隨着保單到期,或見到更大現金流出,加上淨儲蓄保單或爲償付能力資本帶來壓力,降低無風險資產回報亦爲資產配置加添壓力,故下調新華2021年、2022年及2023年淨利潤6%、5%及4%,以反映收入增長恢復減慢及投資收益下降,更調低新業務價值預測16%、20%及20%。

野村:將京東物流(02618.HK)目標價由33港元下調至27港元,評級買入野村發表報告指,以現金流折現法計,下調京東物流(02618.HK)目標價至27港元,評級買入。野村指,京東物流去年下半年總收入按年增長34%,高於預期。外部收入的強勁增長是由其綜合供應鏈服務所推動。管理層預計在更好的營運效率和網絡利用率推動下,利潤率將在今年改善。而該行預計公司今年將實現收支平衡,非通用會計準則的淨利潤率將按年上升1.7個百分點至0.4%。該行認爲,宏觀經濟疲軟和疫情等不利因素可能在短期內影響京東物流業務增長,料其今年總收入將按年增長26%,其中外部收入將按年增長35%。

野村:下調泰格醫藥(03347.HK)目標價至134.75港元 評級買入野村發表報告,泰格醫藥(03347.HK)去年收入和純利分別按年增長63.3%和64.3%,比該行預測分別高10%和43%,比市場平均預測分別高13%和34%。該行將泰格醫藥2022財年和2023財年的收入預測提高2%,以反映更強勁的增長前景,惟將盈利預測分別降低5%和6%,以反映在目前具挑戰的環境或令投資收益減少。目標價由141.67港元下調至134.75港元,維持買入評級。

摩根大通:維持香港交易所(00388.HK)超配評級,目標價470港元 摩通發研報指,由於成交量疲軟、IPO缺乏以及對倫敦金屬交易所(LME)的擔憂,香港交易所(00388.HK)股價在年初至今下跌了24%,但認爲港交所具有優質的業務,短期內有大幅上漲的可能性,其風險與報酬的取捨已變得頗爲正面。該行表示,在過去六個月已分別下調2022財年的股票日均成交額及每股盈利預測28%及22%,而LME佔港交所收益約6%,這可能會受益於有色金屬價格波動加劇,又指中概股或於美國退市可能使這些股票流向港交所,估計現時有超過400家在美國上市的內地公司,未有在香港上市,總市值約爲1890億美元和日均成交額達19億美元。

瑞士信貸:上調中國石油股份(00857.HK)目標價至5.4港元,評級跑贏大市瑞信發表報告,認爲市場過度關注油價上漲對中石油進口天然氣虧損影響,料今年虧損應該比市場擔心低。隨着中石油將公佈2021年Q4、2022年Q1的進口天然氣虧損,料減輕投資者的擔憂,並可能引發重新評級。該行在加入新的油價預測後,將中石油22年至23年EPS預測提高30%至32%。H股目標價由5.2港元上調至5.4港元,A股目標價亦由8元上調至8.3元,均維持跑贏大市評級。近期對俄羅斯石油出口的制裁將造成全球供應的混亂,預計油價在今年Q2和Q3將分別保持高位。中期而言,全球巨頭決定退出俄羅斯業務,可能導致俄羅斯石油量的結構性下降,令油價出現結構性上漲。

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