郭思治: 大市現正欲下試21,139點之支持
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,由於俄烏局勢持續緊張,且新聞說有部分核設施受功擊,事件引來市場恐慌,故環球股市紛紛再度急跌,港股當不能獨善其身,上周五(4日)再大幅急挫,恆指日中一度低見21838點,至尾市時略見喘定,恆指最後報收21,905點,較上日跌562點,全日總成交金額為1,647億元,至此,本月大市在先高後低之形態主導下,月內之波幅已擴闊至1,099點,恆指暫是由1日之高位22,937點跌至4日之低位21,838點,但由於一個月之高低位是不該同時出現於4個交易日之內,加上1,099點之波幅亦該不能滿足月內之所需,故在本月餘下之交易日,衹要先高後低之形態不變,恆指仍會進一步往下尋月內之新低,而從技術上看,短期後市較關鍵的支持該為2020年3月19日之低位21,139點。
目前新舊經濟股持續受壓,新經濟股方面,騰訊(00700.HK)正下試400關口之支持,阿里巴巴(9988)則跌穿100元,另美團(03690.HK)亦續創年來新低,至於舊經濟股,匯控(00005.HK)正下試50元之支持,,中移動(00941.HK)亦可能會下試50元之支持,中國平安(02318.HK)早已跌穿60元之關口,而港交所(00388.HK)則仍在續尋年內新低,單從上述主要恆指成份股之表現看,大市暫確難擺脫反覆續尋底之弱態,而所指的底,暫該為2020年3月19日之低位21,139點。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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