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《大行報告》瑞銀料內地資源股未來數週仍會波動 指俄烏戰事影響商品供應
瑞銀髮表報告,估計未來幾周資源股板塊的表現將出現波動,俄羅斯和烏克蘭戰事將在戰爭、制裁及俄羅斯銀行被逐出SWIFT期間造成商品供應中斷。另一方面,中國的煤炭、鋁和鋼鐵等供應可能會恢復,並且可能會超過冬季結束後的需求恢復速度,戰事持久將對全球能源和金屬供應產生更實質性的影響,但中國貿易商似乎並不十分擔心制裁和俄羅斯被禁用SWIFT對國內煤炭、鋁和鋼鐵供需的影響。該行認爲,隨着需求中斷,電池材料和金屬供應可能會持續緊張。 瑞銀表示,最看淡「沽售」個股是兗礦能源(01171.HK)、中國鋁業(02600.HK)、江西銅業(00358.HK)和洛陽鉬業(03993.HK)。在最近幾個月的回調之後,瑞銀相對看好恩捷股份(002812.SZ)和贛鋒鋰業(01772.HK),認爲其基本面依然強勁。
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