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港股午評:三大指數齊挫,光伏板塊大跌,黃金、石油股逆勢上漲

格隆匯3月2日丨港股上午盤主要指數集體下跌,市場情緒持續低迷。恆指跌1.07%,國指跌0.87%,恆生科技指數跌1.53%。南下資金半日淨流入25.51億港元,大市成交額為595億港元。

盤面上,科技股繼續分化,百度績後漲超7%,美團、小米、阿里巴巴漲超1%,快手大跌超7%,網易跌超3%,騰訊跌0.56%;蘋果概念股、光伏太陽能股跌幅居前,舜宇跌超6%創階段低價,信義光能、信義玻璃均下挫;香港銀行股、家電股、汽車股、金融股、內房股與物管股紛紛下跌。俄鋁再度跌超17%續刷階段低價。 另一方面,受俄烏局勢影響,黃金、石油、煤炭板塊持續走強,在弱勢中表現十分搶眼。

國際油價飆升,石油股逆勢上漲。隔夜原油期貨價格大漲,美油大漲11%,布油大漲近10%;美、布原油期貨均站上100美元,創2014年8月以來新高。外媒稱,歐洲議會通過決議,要求限制從俄羅斯進口石油和天然氣,實施新的投資禁令,切斷其與環球銀行金融電信協會SWIFT的聯繫。

香港本地銀行股走弱,市場預計美聯儲3月僅加息25個基點。據CME“美聯儲觀察”:美聯儲3月維持利率在0%-0.25%區間的概率為0%,加息25個基點的概率為99.8%,加息50個基點的概率為0%;5月維持利率在0%-0.25%區間的概率為0%,加息25個基點的概率為0.2%,加息50個基點的概率為99.0%,加息75個基點的概率為0.7%,加息100個基點的概率為0%。此前市場幾乎完全定價美聯儲在3月加息50個基點,俄烏危機之後市場已經完全放棄該預期。

百度(9888.HK)漲7%,Q4業績勝預期。公司昨晚公佈業績顯示,2021年第四季度營收331億元人民幣,同比增長9.3%,預估322.3億元人民幣;第四季度經調整每ADS利潤11.60元人民幣,預估9.25元人民幣,上年同期為20元人民幣;第四季度調整後營業利潤43.1億元人民幣,預估28.8億元人民幣。 2021年12月,百度App月活達到6.22億,同比增14%;Q4研發支出74億元,同比增30%;自動駕駛業務蘿蔔快跑第四季度載人訂單量約21.3萬單,環比增長近一倍;已覆蓋8大城市。 小摩最新研報稱,百度Q4業績勝預期,主要受惠良好經營開支控制,並稱線上廣吿疲弱因素已被反映,給予港股250港元的目標價。

舜宇光學科技(2382.HK)跌超6%,競爭愈趨激烈,投行降低目標價。瑞銀髮布研究報吿稱,維持該公司中性的評級,目標價由230港元削減13%至200港元,下調2021/22年每股盈利預測9%/11%;並預期其2021/22年每股收益分別同比增長9%和14%,明顯較2018-20年複合年增長率40%為慢。 大摩發佈研究報吿稱,予舜宇光學科技“與大市同步”評級,目標價由255港元下調21.6%至200港元,對應今年預測市盈率約30倍,報吿中稱,由於去年出貨量較預期疲弱,預計舜宇盈利具風險,將全年收入預測下調8%,加上全球智能手機鏡頭行業競爭愈趨激烈,或為市場份額或利潤率帶來不利影響,因此將舜宇去年下半年及今年手機鏡頭與鏡頭模組全球市場份額預期下調約4%。 該公司2月11日發公吿稱,1月手機鏡頭模組出貨量1.31億,同比下降11%,主要是因為去年同期出貨量基數較高且現時整體智能手機市場需求疲軟。

績後獲投行唱好,汽車之家-S(2518.HK)連續4日反彈。公司2021年全年總營收達72.4億元,經調整淨利潤達25.8億元,經調整淨利潤率為35.7%,超出市場預期。同時,公司新業務全年收入同比增長11.6%,佔總營收的比重從2020年的23.2%提升至30.9%。 瑞信將其評級由“中性”上調至“跑贏大市”,目標價由62港元升至64港元。該行解釋,此次調整主要因汽車市場已漸漸復甦,相信盈利下跌已完結,汽車之家於2022年正在復甦的軌道。

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