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樑卓偉倡政府「封城」抗疫 可遏八成半傳播
阿思達克 02-11 09:25
港大醫學院進行流行病學模型推算,政府如實施「封城」措施,可遏止傳播率達八成半,港大醫學院院長樑卓偉建議政府積極考慮有關措施,否則確診數字可於一日內翻倍。 港大發現,如果政府維持現有社交距離措施,遏止疫情幅度可達七成七,預料在3月中至3月底,約有1.1萬人確診,累計2.8萬人染疫,每日約468人需入院治療,超出醫療負荷,料至6月中累計約900至1,000人死亡。 樑卓偉指出,按港大的推算,若實行「封城」,本港至6月中會有115人死亡,醫管局服務不會淪陷,但若政府在未達致零確診就撤銷「封城」,疫情可能會出現反彈。
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