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《即日市評》恆指牛年「收爐」全年累跌21% 科網股今抽高
港股今日牛年「收爐」日僅半日市,受科網股帶動下向上。美股上週五(29日)道指及納指各升1.7%及3.1%,受到蘋果(AAPL.US)因季績表現勝預期推動。執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率跌至1.795釐,美匯指數跌至97.12,美股道指期貨最新升58點或0.17%,納指期貨最新升0.4%。中國1月官方製造業PMI回落至50.1(高於市場原預期50),中國1月財新製造業PMI降至49.1遜預期(爲2020年3月以來最低),內地A股今日起休市,直至2月7日(年初七)起復市。 恆指今早高開74點,早段曾倒跌80點一度低見23,469點,其後轉升,上午尾段曾升425點一度高見23,975點,最終半日市以23,802點收市,升252點或1.07%。國指升139點或1.7%,收8,349點;恆生科技指數升124點或2.35%,收5,416點。大市成交總額651.35億元,滬、深港通南下交易因農曆新年假期暫停,將於2月7日恢復。 恆指1月累升404點或1.7%、國指1月累升113點或1.4%、恆生科指1月累跌254點或4.5%。而恆指於牛年累跌6,371點或21.1%、國指牛年累跌3,530點或29.7%、恆生科指於牛年累跌4,994點或48%,市場擔心美聯儲局比預期更快地「收水」,美國債收益率持續上升,觸發科技股回吐。 【恆指有支持 科技股彈高】 科技股今日抽高,騰訊(00700.HK)及阿裏巴巴(09988.HK)股價各升2.6%及3.6%,美團(03690.HK)彈5.6%,快手(01024.HK)揚6.6%。 瑞信發表亞太區投資市場報,決定下調對日本市場評級至「減持」,將中國市場評級由「減持」升至「與大市同步」,料中國宏觀經濟將轉趨正面,指估值吸引及將有國策支持,看好內需、醫療及科技股。 瑞信同時列出18只最新中國市場首選股,在港上市股份包括蒙牛(02319.HK)、華潤啤酒(00291.HK)、快手(01024.HK)、中石油(00857.HK)、郵儲銀行(01658.HK)、申洲國際(02313.HK)、騰訊(00700.HK)及藥明生物(02269.HK)。 【沽空率回落 賭股走個別】 港股今日市寬改善,主板股票的升跌比率爲27比10(上日爲33比13),上升股份1,153只(升幅3.1%),恆指成份股今日36只股份上升,下跌股份24只,升跌比率爲56比38(上日爲88比8);大市今日錄沽空131.42億元,佔可沽空股份成535.18億元的24.557%(上日爲26.457%)。 濠賭股走個別,銀河娛樂(00027.HK)股價跌2.2%,永利澳門(01128.HK)股價升0.3%。此外,澳門勵駿(01680.HK)確認董事會聯席主席兼行政總裁及控股股東陳榮煉被捕,並指與集團無關,股價跌19.3%報0.46元。 花旗發表報告指,雖然去年11月的「太陽城事件」導致濠賭股短期的股價波動,但認爲自那時起大多數投資者已對澳門中介人貴賓廳近乎無期望,因此今年1月30日關於與中介人有關的逮捕報道應該不會對股價產生很大影響。另外,澳門政府近期公佈對博彩法的建議修訂草案,亦表明仍然支持中場的可持續發展,故該行亦仍看好濠賭股,料未來多個潛在催化劑將支持濠賭股估值重評,包括博彩法修訂通過,賭牌續期進展,以及粵港澳最終撤銷旅遊限制等。
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