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數據科技:規模新高盈利修復,持續看好科技和製造

本文來自格隆匯專欄:中信證券研究,作者:張若海 何旺嵐 湯可欣

主動偏股型基金整體回顧:主動管理規模不斷增長,倉位持續提升創新高,四季度收益率超過滬深300指數0.73pct;配置風格變化聚焦:21Q4風格逆轉,主動偏股型基金重倉股向大盤股轉移,同時加配成長風格、穩定風格;行業配置環比變化全景透視:21Q4產業配置持續看好科技、製造和基地,週期轉向向下,醫療健康連續2季度主動減倉。

主動偏股型基金整體回顧:主動管理規模不斷增長,倉位持續提升創新高,四季度收益率超過滬深300指數0.73pct。

規模創新高:基於Wind披露的基金重倉數據顯示,截止2021年第四季度末,主動偏股型基金管理規模爲6.12萬億元,環比增長5.6%;本季主動偏股型基金的份額爲3.79萬億份,環比增長0.41%。

影響力增強:2021Q4,公募基金持倉市值佔A股自由流通市值比爲9.36%,較上個季度提升0.39pct;主動偏股型基金市值佔A股的自由流通市值比爲6.67%,較上個季度提升0.24pct,影響力進一步提升;

倉位新高度:經加權計算,四季度末主動偏股型基金倉位爲83.77 %,環比提升1.87pct,創新高。

盈利漸修復:2021Q4主動偏股型基金盈利能力好轉,季度加權平均收益率達2.25%,較上個季度2021Q3提升5.1pcts,較滬深300超額收益0.73pct;其中普通股票型基金、偏股混合型基金、靈活配置型基金分別爲1.86%、1.71%、3.48%,分別提升3.2pcts、提升6.14pcts、提升4.05pcts。

配置風格變化聚焦:21Q4風格逆轉,主動偏股型基金重倉股向大盤股轉移,同時加配成長風格、穩定風格。

大小盤風格配置:四季度風格逆轉,主動偏股型基金重倉股向大盤股轉移:2021Q4,主動偏股型基金重倉股在滬深300、中證500、創業板、中證800、中證1000持倉佔比分別爲62.04%、11.85%、21.22%、47.42%、11.23%,環比提升8.02pcts、1.19pcts、-0.89pct、0.21pct、-0.78pct;

板塊風格配置:四季度主動偏股型基金重倉股偏向中信成長風格,其中根據中信證券分類(下同),消費、金融、成長、穩定、週期風格的持倉佔比分別爲27.18%、5.55%、51.22%、1.37%、14.68%,環比提升-1.73pcts、-0.03pct、1.63pcts、0.23pct、-0.11pct;

行業配置環比變化全景透視:21Q4產業配置持續看好科技、製造和基地,週期轉向向下,醫療健康連續2季度主動減倉。

產業配置:2021Q4主動偏股型基金重倉產業爲消費(18.03%)、科技(22.34%)、製造(26.13%)、醫療健康(11.81%)、金融(3.75%)、基地(6.14%)、週期(11.78%);環比變化分產業看,消費(-0.28pcts)、科技(+3.09pcts)、製造(+2.34pcts)、醫療健康(-2.81pcts)、金融(-0.41pcts)、基地(1.1pcts)、週期(-2.83pcts);

行業配置:2021Q4主動偏股型基金重倉規模環比增速最快的5大行業爲:通信(103.85%)、建築(58.22%)、國防軍工(30.82%)、交通運輸(30.12%)、房地產(29.98%);超配最多的5個一級行業分別是食品飲料(6.26%)、電子(5.72%)、電力設備及新能源(4.89%)、醫藥(2.55%)、國防軍工(1.17%)。

新基金行業配置:主動偏股型基金新發節奏放緩,2021Q4新發行156只,環比減少32只,新發份額爲1485.3億份,環比下降56.82%;2021Q2-Q4期間發行的主動偏股型基金重倉市值合計爲1328.63億元,前10大行業的重倉市值的集中度爲82.12%,配置的前5大行業爲電力設備及新能源、食品飲料、電子、基礎化工、醫藥。

風險提示:

重倉股明細不代表基金產品的全部配置;基金持倉數據存在滯後的風險。

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