郭思治: 大市昨曾稍跌穿10天及50天線 但只屬假跌破
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨(19日)並未受美股急跌所影響,恆指早市先高開117點至24,229點,其後再進一步升至24,286點方漸受規限,由於買盤不繼,加上零碎沽壓再滲着出現,故整個大市開始漸轉反覆,而大市亦持續跌至23,951點方漸見喘定,從技術上看,恆指此刻已稍跌穿50天線(23,978點)及10天線(23,973點),但由於沽壓收斂,加上維穩買盤再現,故整個大市不但未有進一步受壓,反之,市勢開始在緩步中回升,恆指最後報收24,127點,較上日微升15點,全日總成交金額爲1,149億元。
昨天恆指於日中雖曾稍跌穿10天及50天線,但技術上只屬假跌穿,故整個市勢暫仍屬緊扣高臺而不下之格局,嚴格而言,只要恆指於收市時仍能續穩守於10天線,50天線及20天線之上,即表示整個自6日低短22,709點開始之反彈,技術上仍未完結,而一旦買盤態度積極,恆指仍有機會進一步上試100天線(24,618點),但需指出,即使大市能再進一步往上創月內新高,惟相對1月份之股市而言,亦只屬錦上添花而已。
匯控(00005.HK)昨雖略見高臺反覆,但表現仍偏穩,只是月來累積升幅已不少,技術上需稍作消化及整固,至於中海油(00883.HK),在買盤支持下,股價正欲上試9.52元,一旦成功突破,目標直指10元及10.6元。
(筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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