巨星科技(002444.SZ)：預計2021年度淨利潤為12.83億元-14.18億元
格隆匯1月14日丨巨星科技(002444.SZ)公佈2021年度業績預吿，公司預計歸屬於上市公司股東的淨利潤12.83億元-14.18億元，比上年同期增長-5%-5%；扣除非經常性損益後的淨利潤11.08億元-12.43億元，比上年同期增長-10.16%-0.78%；基本每股收益1.14元/股-1.26元/股。
業績變動原因：
1、2021年度，全球經濟在新冠疫情不斷反覆的大背景下，產生了許多深刻的變化和持續的動盪，全球工具市場的需求和供應鏈格局持續發生着一些有利於公司長期競爭力的變化。
主要包括：美國房地產市場持續保持景氣和繁榮，帶來各類工具需求的穩定上行；二季度開始原材料大宗商品價格不斷走高，全球運費不斷上漲且國際物流出現堵塞，雖然對公司的盈利能力產生了較大的負面影響但是凸顯了公司全球佈局全產業鏈佈局的優勢，持續獲得了市場份額的提升；國際上一些中小型工具公司雖然依靠市場景氣獲得了訂單但是由於成本上漲遠快於收入上漲，導致現金流持續惡化，行業進一步得到出清。
在這一大的背景下，公司憑藉穩定的供應鏈、研發優勢和渠道管理能力持續獲取市場份額，預計公司營業收入首次超過100億元，主營業務增長超過30%。
2、報吿期內，人民幣持續走強，全年美元兑人民幣匯率中間價平均值相比2020年升值6.9%；同時公司國際物流成本大幅上升，國際海運費用和港口滯留費用同比增長100%以上；最後公司主要原材料價格同比2020年明顯上漲，儘管公司對上游供應商議價能力較強，但各項採購成本仍不可避免上漲。
上述成本因素史無前例的同時發生對公司盈利能力的不利變化，且幅度巨大，儘管公司對客户和終端進行了不同程度的漲價，但各項成本超預期增長，無法全部覆蓋成本變動帶來的影響，導致報吿期內公司毛利率創歷史最低水平。
3、報吿期內，公司激光測量儀器業務同比增長超過100%，跨境電商為主的DTC(Directto Consumer)業務同比增長超過50%，動力工具實現超2億美元收入成為公司業務新的發力點。
4、報吿期內，公司部分參股公司的盈利能力有所下滑，使得公司投資收益同比下降。
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