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《即日市評》恆指反覆靠穩 藥股續受捧
恆指連升三日後,今日略爲回軟,市場觀望美國週三公佈通脹數據。美聯儲主席鮑威爾指將承諾動用美聯儲所有政策工具,防止高通脹植根;市場料美聯儲最快3月加息,投資者沽售風險資產並把美十年期國債孳息推升至1.808釐兩年高,其後回落至1.76釐,美股道指及納指各跌0.5%及升不足0.1%;執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率跌至1.755釐,美匯指數稍回至95.78,美股道指期貨最新升24點或0.07%,納指期貨最新跌0.06%。人行今進行100億人幣7天期逆回購操作,上證綜指全日跌26點或0.73%收3,567點、深證成指跌1.27%,內地創業板指數下滑1.3%,滬深兩市成交額共1.06萬億人民幣。 恆指今早低開67點,中午休市前曾倒升117點,高見23,863點,午市曾跌151點一度低見23,595點,其後收復大部份失地,全日跌7點或0.03%,收23,739點;國指升3點或0.04%,收8,369點;恆生科技指數跌5點或0.1%,收5,619點。大市全日成交總額1,296.24億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入15.17億及12.37億元人民幣。友邦保險(01299.HK)股價跌1.8%收78.6元。 【藥股續受捧 藥明生物彈】 醫藥股續受捧,藥明生物(02269.HK)股價彈近6%收87.65元,藥明康德(02359.HK)走高5.5%,信達生物(01801.HK)股價揚近4%。中金髮表報告表示,過去一週股市整體出現了較大幅度的調整,醫藥行業中估值水平較高的核心資產和CXO(研發及生產外包服務)、醫療服務等子行業特別明顯。從資金面看,該行認爲全行業基金對醫藥行業的配置已經降到了非常低的水平;從核心公司的估值水平來看,已經降低至近三年的中下水平,估值吸引力逐漸顯現。 中金指,雖有短期疫情影響,但龍頭公司通過較強的經營管理能力,仍然保持強勁的增長,在疫情中積極承擔抗疫職責,進一步提升了社會口碑。至於CXO(研發及生產外包服務)板塊,目前正處在調整消化估值的階段,中金認爲2021年報時預計會披露的2022至2023年訂單情況以及2022年產能擴張規劃將成爲較強催化劑,局勢將進一步明朗,指CXO依舊是2022年不錯的配置型資產,板塊核心標的在回調後的配置機會值得關注。 【沽空率攀升 長汽吉利弱】 港股今日主板市寬轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率爲17比23(上日爲26比15);恆指成份股今日25只股份上升,下跌股份38只,升跌比率爲39比59(上日爲70比27)。大市今日錄沽空209.34億元,佔可沽空股份成交1,081.96億元的19.348%(上日17.943%)。 部份汽車股走弱,長汽(02333.HK)股價跌4.2%,吉利汽車(00175.HK)股價下跌3.6%收18.9元。傑富瑞發表報告指,吉利2021年總銷量按年增1%至133萬輛,達到原本153萬輛目標的87%,而吉利今年目標爲165萬輛,意味按年增長24%,高於同業的10%增長預期。不過,該行考慮到電池價格上漲,推低毛利率,加上寧波和西安的疫情爆發,導致供應中斷,該行將吉利2021/22年盈利預測下調至65億元人民幣及95億元人民幣,目標價則由35.6元下調至30.1元,維持「買入」評級。
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