輪證日報|科技股反彈，騰訊牛證漲50%
今日市場短評
港股兩日共彈586點一舉重上廿天線，連升三週升300點。港股今早反覆向上。恆指高開30點或0.13%，報23523；之後曾倒跌94點，低見23399。港股午後震盪走高，恆指最多漲超290點。截至收盤，恆指收漲1.08%，實現三連漲。盤面上，互聯網醫療股、地產股、物管股領漲大市，汽車經銷商板塊、啤酒股普跌。個股方面，世茂集團收漲19.15%，阿裏健康收漲10.83%，快手收漲10.11%，小鵬汽車收跌4.26%。
窩輪（認股證）焦點
明源雲（00909）
明源認購證（27122）到期日：2022年10月槓桿：5.55倍
明源雲漲幅持續擴大，近三個交易日累計漲幅超26%
國金證券維持明源雲“買入”評級，目標價51.9港元，較現價有2.5倍漲幅。保持原盈利預測，對應22年收入的合理市值1002.9億港元。 此外，日前董事會決定動用股份購回授權，可能以總金額不超過1億美元的港元不時於公開市場購回股份。
牛熊證焦點
騰訊控股（00700）
騰訊牛證（66854）到期日：2022年12月回收價：420
槓桿：11.06倍
高盛：維持騰訊控股“買入”評級 目標價降至702港元
高盛發佈研究報告稱，維持騰訊控股“買入”評級，列入“確信買入”名單，目標價由733港元下調4.2%至702港元，下調2022/23年收入預測2%/2%，主因同期廣告收入預測各下調11%/10%，同期經調整純利預測下調7%/4%。
報告中稱，騰訊已於過去14個月剝離約500億美元投資，但同時加快新投資，2021年內，共有265個新投資項目，遊戲及企業服務公司佔45%，有助貢獻2022-24年新遊戲渠道組合，及推升中、長期收入及盈利，同時減低現存資產控股公司折讓。但宏觀憂慮因素持續，預期2021年第4季中國互聯網收入增長14.8%，低於疫情初期水平;同期板塊市場開支也放緩至13%，由於監管措施負面影響。
該行預計，去年第4季騰訊廣告收入同比跌8%；下調公司去年第4季收入預測3%至1487億元人民幣，同比升11%，主要下調廣告及金融科技板塊收入預測。基於較低的毛利率及經營槓桿，下調第4季經調整經營利潤預測7%至325億元人民幣，每股盈測下調至2.22元人民幣。
衍生品資金流入/流出
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