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貝萊德智庫對整體亞洲股票看法中立 中國維持適度正面
阿思達克 12-14 12:01
貝萊德智庫發表對明年全球投資展望,預期美聯儲將於明年開始加息,但對通貨膨脹的包容程度將較以往更高,新常態加上經濟重啓幅度不斷擴闊,將爲股市持續帶來支持。 貝萊德智庫表示,債券受到實際收益率逐步上揚,以及期限溢價的影響,相對錶現未必會理想。亞洲股票看好日本,並將其提升至「增持」的評級,同時對中國維持適度正面的看法。部份亞洲新興市場的經濟重啓面臨挑戰,加上緊縮政策,因此對整體亞洲股票持中立看法。 固定收益方面,貝萊德智庫對亞洲給予增持的評級,認爲市場對中國固定收益市場可能過於悲觀,並留意到其他亞洲市場提供着吸引的收益投資機會。 在策略佈局方面,貝萊德智庫對中國資產保持正面看法,認爲全球投資者對中國資產的配置仍然處於相對低水平,未有反映中國在全球經濟中日益增長的影響力,長線而言在全球配置相對較低的前設下,維持對中國資產的增持評級。貝萊德智庫預期,中國政府將放寬貨幣和財政政策,因此對中國股票維持小幅戰術性增持;在缺乏收益的投資環境下偏好收益率較高及相對穩定的中國政府債券。 貝萊德智庫預期,中美關係雖然維持着對立,但因爲雙方都希望聚焦於國內的優先事項,看到兩國正尋求在2022年爲緊張關係降溫。
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