《即日市評》觀望中美元首會晤 恆指反覆升 內房股弱
市場觀望中美元首即將舉行視頻會晤(將於香港時間明早舉行),恆指今日反覆上落。美股道指上週五(12日)升0.5%重上36,000點,納指升1%;執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率跌至1.549釐,美匯指數跌至95.11,美股道指期貨最新跌1點,納指期貨最新升0.2%。內地10月規模以上工業生產增加值按年升3.5%(市場預期升3%)、內地10月份社會消費品零售總額按年增長4.9%(高於市場預期增長3.7%)、今年首十月固定資產投資按年升6.1%略低預期;北交所今開市,上證綜指全日跌5點或0.16%收3,533點、深證成指跌0.47%,內地創業板指數跌0.8%,滬深兩市成交額共1.16萬億人民幣。
恆指高開110點,早段曾升155點一度高見25,483點,其後倒跌97點見25,230點。全日升62點或0.25%,收25,390點;國指跌28點或0.32%,收9,085點;恆生科技指數升35點或0.54%,收6,601點。大市全日成交總額降至1,185.96億元,滬港通南下交易淨流出9.92億元人民幣,深港通南下交易淨流入8.89億元人民幣。友邦(01299.HK)全日股價揚2.3%,但碧桂園服務(06098.HK)股價挫近5.8%。
【內房股捱沽 融創挫一成】
融創中國(01918.HK)股價挫11.5%收15.08元,融創服務(01516.HK)股價下瀉16.7%收13.8元。融創中國以每股15.18元先舊後新配售3.35億股,佔經擴大已發行股本約6.7%,每股作價較上一個交易日收市價折讓約10.9%,認購事項所得款項總額約50.85億元。另外,融創中國以每股14.75元配售1.58億股融創服務現有股份。融創服務股份配售事項所得款項總額約23.31億元。
世茂集團(00813.HK)及富力(02777.HK)股價各跌9.5%及10%。摩根大通發表報告表示,從融創中國宣佈進行配股集資進一步證明,中國房地產未來可能會有更多融資活動,發展商在實體市場不景氣及預售資金監管趨嚴的情況下,流動性條件仍普遍面臨挑戰。雖然有早期跡象顯示信貸寬鬆,惟該行估計內房發展商仍需要幾個月的時間纔可緩解現金流緊張。該行亦預期將有更多內房發展商將透過配股、供股、股東無息貸款及出售子公司股權的方式進行融資,並料內房於2至3個月將出現救濟性復甦,當中的波動性或很大。
【市寬略轉弱 保利協鑫揚】
港股今日市寬略轉弱,主板股票的升跌比率爲18比22(上日爲20比19);恆指成份股今日30只股份上升,下跌股份27只,升跌比率爲50比45(上日爲42比55);大市今日錄沽空151.74億元,佔可沽空股份成交982.19億元的15.449%(上日15.604%)。
保利協鑫(03800.HK)全日股價彈高5.1%收3.12元。匯豐環球研究發表報告,提高了對保利協鑫2021年至2022年盈利預測,並引入2023年盈利預測。目標價由3.15元上調至3.4元,恢復對該股的評級,從停牌前「持有」提升至「買入」。匯豐研究相信,該股風險回報具吸引力,因爲在目前多晶矽上升週期下有很強的盈利能力,以及顆粒多晶矽有持續進展,而市場未充分定價其潛力。
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