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週末大事很多,一個利好

本文來自格隆匯專欄:海榕財富風險投研,作者:海榕君

新冠疫苗又有大消息,第二款口服藥來了:效果更好 ,輝瑞稱其在研口服新冠藥物可減少高危新冠患者大約89%的住院與死亡風險。 

受此影響,輝瑞股票大漲10%,因輝瑞新冠藥物療效顯著,競爭對手默沙東,mrna疫苗公司莫德納.  病毒檢測公司 都出現了10%左右的下跌,國內相關公司也可能會受到跨市場的影響 。

受此影響,受益的行業包括:酒店,樂園,航空公司等消費行業。

國內關注度較高的上海機場長期邏輯沒有原來好了,主要是兩個原因:1. 虹橋的免税資產質量不好 ,上海機場併入以後,上海機場不是純粹的免税股了,併入的優勢是體量更大了,未來更有談判話語權    2. 幾年以後 ,需要和中國中免談判 ,增加了投資的不確定性。

酒店行業倒是大佬雲集,高瓴前期參與過華住酒店的定增 ,興全的謝治宇,喬遷 ,富國的朱少醒也出現在最近的錦江酒店的十大流通股東 ,希瓦的梁宏都比較喜歡酒店行業。  

(數據來源:wind  公開披露)

酒店品牌的終點都是加盟  ,國內萬豪希爾頓酒店基本都是加盟,酒店就是賺固定的品牌授權費和業績分成 。國內疫情有點像非洲豬瘟,小酒店不少都扛不住這次疫情, 疫情持續的時間越長,供給側改革時間越長 ,連鎖酒店的滲透率會提升,後期還需要通過財務數據去驗證這個邏輯 。

再説説其他行業:

  •  國內地產公司新城控股還是有家底 ,週末秀了秀肌肉:計劃提前贖回3.5億美元債券並註銷 。

  • 伯克希爾哈撒韋第三季度營業收入64.7億美元,同比增長18%。伯克希爾哈撒韋現金儲備達到1492億美元,創紀錄新高.

  • 東方雨虹又簽了一份光伏屋頂合作協議:與瑞和股份簽訂戰略合作協議,雙方旨在光伏屋面一體化領域達成全方位的深度合作。

  • 鋼鐵俠 可能會出售特斯拉的10%的股份。

  • 海底撈準備在2021年12月31日前關停300家左右門店。海底撈前期也是當漂亮50炒作了,估值給的特別高 ,後來面臨翻枱率下滑,市場認為增長邏輯 壞了 ,才出現戴維斯雙殺。

  • 萬科準備分拆物業公司 去港股上市,萬科此前持有萬科物業63%股權,萬科物業上市會稀釋一些股份 ,萬科物業上市後,萬科A仍然是萬科物業的控股股東,並且財務並表

    現在 地產公司融資非常難,雖然萬科物業在現在上市,估值 不會高,但對萬科來説,能拿到寶貴的現金 ,現在地產行業缺的就是現金流  ,這個應該也是萬科管理層深思熟慮過的,總體看上市偏利好 。

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