堅持穩健高質量 標普維持大唐地產信用評級為"B"
11月3日,標普最新發布報吿,確認大唐集團控股(02117.HK)的長期發行人信用評級為"B"。報吿顯示,確認評級源於標普認為大唐集團控股應能夠用內部資源應對短期債務。截至2021年6月30日,大唐集團的非限制性現金能完全覆蓋其短期債務。
同時,標普還在報吿中顯示,鑑於在市場波動的情況下投資者情緒減弱,此將增加公司對2022年6月到期的3億美元離岸票據進行再融資的不確定性。如果公司利用內部資源償還票據,其流動資金可能會受到壓力。儘管如此,標普仍然預計公司能夠持續表現出充足的流動性,即使未來在支付了離岸到期債務後,也有足夠的現金應對其他債務。
近期,多家房地產公司集體被穆迪、標普降評級,市場分析人士指出,評級下調是當前行業整體面臨的問題,政策調控頻出,很多企業債務壓力較大,金九銀十的銷售數據表現不佳,尤其是流動性的問題使評級機構更加謹慎。悲觀情緒的持續發酵,在此背景下,雖然標普將大唐集團控股的評級展望從穩定調整至負面,但其仍然確認大唐集團控股的"B"信用評級,一定程度上反映出國際評級機構對大唐的信任和認可。早前,穆迪也確認維持大唐集團控股主體評級為"B2",並給予展望穩定,這也主要反映了大唐集團控股在主要市場開發地產與合同銷售規模的良性增長,以及長期穩健的財務指標。
今年下半年以來,房企銷售轉向,吿別了以往高增長態勢,罕見出現下跌。根據克而瑞數據顯示,百強房企7月至9月連續三個單月銷售出現同比下跌,且跌幅呈擴大之勢。10月份,部分房企銷售有所回暖,這其中也包括大唐。數據顯示,大唐集團控股10月單月實現全口徑銷售金額約33.7億元,環比9月增長超9%;1-10月全口徑銷售金額累計達403.2億元,同比增長25.2%。
在最新的評級中,標普顯示出對大唐集團控股銷售放緩的擔憂。標普認為大唐集團控股要在2021年達到500億人民幣的銷售目標將是一個挑戰。但從前十月整體銷售表現來看,大唐的目標完成率已超80%,考慮到四季度是房企推貨高峯和銷售衝刺期,雖然與行業其他房企一樣完成全年目標存在壓力,但壓力之中仍有機遇。以大唐集團控股佈局的南寧市場為例,標普預計大唐可能會受到南寧市場情緒惡化的連累從而導致在南寧市場去化承壓,但其也進一步表示,相信南寧市作為廣西省的省會,有能力吸引人口流入。從長遠來看,南寧市的銷售前景仍將得到當地堅實的需求支持,銷售的基本面也是標普維持大唐集團控股主體評級"B"的依據。
在負債率以及槓桿水平方面,大唐集團控股也在不斷調整和優化。自2018年以來,大唐一直致力於去槓桿化,不斷收窄"負債金"。截至2021年6月30日,大唐地產淨負債率47.7%,較上年末下降11個百分點;現金短債比也基本與去年末持平,維持綠線標準。
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