大新:本港第三季GDP勝預期 維持全年升6.4%預測
香港第三季預先估計實質本地生產總值(GDP)按年升5.4%,大新銀行高級經濟師溫嘉煒回應指,數字高於其估計的5.1%,按季增幅0.1%則符合其預期。他指,按年增幅較第二季的7.6%回落,主要由於去年第三季基數較去年第二季為高。出口第三季按年增長14.3%,增幅雖然較第一及第二季的分別30.1%和20.5%為低,主要是由於前兩季經濟重啟初期,追趕式需求更為明顯。
大新維持第四季經濟將按年增長4.9%及全年經濟增長6.4%的預測,溫嘉煒指,本地消費可望繼續推動內需改善,外需的不確定性較大,由於全球多個主要經濟體仍面對疫情挑戰,商品價格和貨運成本高企均可能不利出口表現,而內地嚴格的防疫措施以及限電、節能等政策也可能拖累內地對香港出口的需求。
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