調查:本港中小企營商信心正緩步復甦
生產力局公佈今年度第四季渣打中小企指數調查,第四季綜合營商指數上升1.6至48.2,再創三年以來新高,逐步邁向50中性水平,反映本地中小企於疫情放緩下,營商信心復甦步伐仍然緩步向前。
五大分項指數中四項均有上升,其中兩項錄得50以上正面水平,居首的「招聘意向」錄得51.7,創兩年半以來新高,其中16%受訪中小企預期來季將會提高薪金;而招聘意欲最強的行業包括「住宿及膳食服務」、「資訊及通訊」以及「社會及個人服務」,三個行業的受訪中小企均有近兩成表示會增聘人手。雖然分項指數「環球經濟」較上季微跌1.9,錄得50.9,於五大分項指數仍居第二位。
來季「投資意向」方面,受訪中小企預期來季只會加大「產品及市場推廣」的投資,其他範疇的投資意向均下跌,其中「庫存」投資意欲最低。同時本季受訪中小企預期來季原材料成本及貨價均會繼續上升,其中多達65%中小企預計原材料成本上升,是今年四季調查以來最高。
渣打(香港)大中華區高級經濟師劉健恆表示,雖然綜合營商指數仍低於50以下水平,然而近月內地經濟增長出現放緩,首先新冠肺炎疫情反彈,再加上房地產市場的問題及各省實施限電令,都有可能令情況進一步變差。
同時,劉健恆指,中國以外的其他地區出現越來越多的Delta變異病毒株病例,市場亦憂慮美國聯儲局縮減買債,以上種種均對外向型的行業帶來一定壓力。相反,反映本地服務行業的分項指數,包括住宿及膳食服務、專業及商用服務業、金融及保險業及零售業持續穩定復甦,只要本地新冠肺炎個案持續清零,這些行業的復甦情況將會維持下去。
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