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《大行報告》花旗料香港今年第三季GDP增長預測5.9% 降明年預測至3.8%
阿思達克 10-26 14:36
花旗發表研究報告指,本港經濟正在復甦,輕微下調2022年GDP增長預期0.3個百分點至3.8%,而今年第三、第四季增長分別預期爲5.9%。短期政策焦點仍然是疫情控制以重新通關,而施政報告則展示了在中長期解決土地和房屋供應問題的大型政策。 該行指,香港房地產市場正受中國經濟放緩影響,令投資香港的速度亦減慢,預期明年增長主要取決於與內地通關時間。目前預期本港與內地通關限制可在農曆新年及冬奧後放寬,個人消費支出(PCE)會於下半年更顯着復甦,預期短期措施將維持針對疫情控制。 該行又指,《施政報告》中提到很多土地及房屋政策,以應對中長期土地問題,其中北部都會區的發展更是充分發展連接港深兩地未充分利用地方。
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