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郭家耀: 港股短期料整固 煤炭股或有低吸機會
安里資產管理董事總經理郭家耀稱,美股上周五(22日)個別發展,債息持續向上,金融股受到追捧,帶動道指再創歷史新高,科技股表現受壓,拖累標普500指數及納指走勢偏軟。美元由高位回落,美國十年期債息回落至1.64厘水平,油價先跌後回升,金價反覆向好。港股預託證券普遍偏軟,預料大市早段跟隨低開。內地股市反覆向下,滬綜指收市下跌0.3%,滬深兩市成交額重返萬億元人民幣水平。 港股上周五反覆向好,指數企穩26,000點水平,但成交維持清淡。鑑於早前大市累積升幅較大,短期市況或出現整固,預料指數維持於25,500至26,500點水平上落。 另發改委日前發文指出,目前煤炭價格漲幅已完全脫離供求基本面,且臨近採暖季,價格仍呈現進一步非理性上漲的趨勢,將充分運用《價格法》規定的一切必要手段,研究對煤炭價格進行干預的具體措施,促進煤炭價格回歸合理區間,讓煤炭市場回復理性。發改委亦提到,近期煤炭價格快速上漲,連創歷史新高,大幅推高下游行業生產成本,對電力供應和冬季供暖產生不利影響,社會各方面反應強烈。要確保能源安全保供,有效增加煤炭生產能力,堅決遏制、依法規管囤積炒作,加快提升國家能源儲備能力,守住安全底線。 此外,發改委官員赴鄭州商品交易所調研,並召開專題座談會,研究今年以來動力煤期貨價格走勢和依法加強監管、嚴厲查處資本惡意炒作動力煤期貨有關情況。會議要求,鄭商所應高度關注動力煤期貨交易價格波動,著力加強期貨市場穿透式監管,梳理排查異常交易,依法嚴厲查處資本惡意炒作行為並公開曝光,有效維護市場秩序。受消息影響,煤炭股普遍顯著調整。不過,為保障供應穩定,應付冬天取暖需求,預期煤價將繼續高位徘徊,煤炭股或有低吸機會。 (筆者為證監會持牌人,沒持有上述股份)~
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