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A股收評:滬指漲0.22%,大金融強勢崛起,煤炭股全線反彈

10月21日,三大指數走勢分化,滬指盤中一度突破3600點,截止收盤漲0.22%報3594點,深成指跌0.05%報14444點,創業板指跌0.17%報3279點。兩市1340股上漲,3000餘股下跌,成交額9900億,北上資金淨買入102億。

盤面上,行業板塊多數下跌,工業母機、綠電、芯片、光伏、豬肉等概念跌幅靠前。昨日重挫的煤炭板塊大幅反彈,安源煤業等股漲停;保險板塊大漲居前,中國平安漲5.6%;地產板塊全天強勢,保利發展漲5.5%;銀行股集體上漲,家電板塊尾盤走強,磷化工、稀土、稀缺資源、快遞股表現強勁。

具體來看:

煤炭股強勢反彈。安源煤業、上海能源、冀中能源漲停,陝西煤業漲超9%,山西焦化、淮北礦業、靖遠煤電、露天煤業、兗州煤業等漲幅居前。近日國常會、發改委、證監會均先後表示,要打擊煤炭市場炒作。此外今日,國家能源集團召開保供專題會議。要求煤炭產業要確保四季度自產煤有序增產高產。

金融股全線上漲,保險股大漲靠前。中國平安漲超5%領漲板塊,中國人壽漲超4%,中國太保漲超3%,中國人保和新華保險漲超2%。對於當前的保險股,機構普遍認爲,目前板塊估值處於歷史低位,預計行業最差的時點即將過去,中長期配置價值可被看好。另外近日,央行官員關於貨幣中性的表態降低了降準預期,加上不斷上漲的商品價格帶來的強烈通脹預期,這兩個因素將在四季度助推名義利率持續上行,對保險股形成利好。

銀行股表現強勢。常熟銀行漲停,杭州銀行漲超5%,平安銀行、成都銀行漲超3%。消息面上,昨晚,平安銀行、杭州銀行和常熟銀行發佈第三季度業績報告亮眼。其中,平安銀行第三季度淨利同比增長32.5%,私行業務全面爆發。常熟銀行三季報顯示息差回升趨勢亮眼,利潤增速提升至19%,不良率大幅下降,撥備覆蓋率520%+。杭州銀行三季報顯示Q3存款改善、業績表現靚麗,撥覆率超550%。

地產板塊走強。津濱發展和京投發展漲停,新城控股漲超6%,保利發展漲超5%,金地集團漲超4%,格力地產、華夏幸福、萬科A跟漲。日前,央行行長易綱在迴應恆大事件時稱,恆大是一家房地產公司,目前的主要風險是到期債務未能償還,部分工地停工,已預售的房產按時交付有不確定性。總體而言,恆大風險是個案風險,恆大事件對金融行業的外溢性可控。有信心能把風險控制在一定範圍,避免發生系統性風險。

稀土永磁板塊集體上漲。五礦稀土漲超8%,北方稀土漲7%,天通股份漲近7%,川能動力漲超5%,盛和資源、廣晟有色跟漲。國資委近日表示,要大力推進稀土領域專業化整合,通過資源優化配置切實增強企業競爭力,打造具有全球競爭力的世界一流企業。中信證券稱,下遊需求旺季來臨,稀土價格或穩中有進,稀土板塊有望開啓長牛,建議持續關注稀土全產業鏈戰略配置價值。

磷化工概念漲勢凌厲。川發龍蟒、湖北宜化、四川美豐漲停,晨化股份、川金諾漲超跟漲。2021年前三季度,磷化工板塊整體業績表現突出。有機構預期,佈局新能源業務的磷化工企業,有望取得“估值”和“業績”的戴維斯雙擊。相較於預期之內的業績暴增,磷化工企業佈局新能源、新材料的消息更令市場關注。

工業母機概念走弱。維宏股份跌超10%,上機數控跌停,歐科億、博亞精工、萬訊自控、紐威數控、德恩精工等跌幅居前。

汽車股跌幅居前。海馬汽車、北汽藍谷跌超3%,中集車輛、東風汽車、中國重汽、宇通客車、福田汽車等跌超2%。

半導體板塊走低。斯達半導跌超9%,潤欣科技跌超6%,士蘭微、捷捷微電跌超4%,賽微電子、晶晨股份、南大光電、立昂微等跟跌。

電力股普跌。贛能股份、內蒙華電跌超6%,新中港、閩東電力、金房節能跌超5%,中閩能源、芯能科技等跟跌。國家發改委體改司副司長蔣毅今日在發佈會上表示,在當前電力供求偏緊的情況下,市場交易電價可能出現上浮,一定程度上會推升工商業企業用電成本。

個股方面:

圓通速遞封漲停板,報15.49元創逾一年新高,總市值489億元。公司第三季度實現營收110.5億元,同比增長25.0%;扣非淨利潤2.92億元,同比下降6.85%。Q3扣非淨利潤下降幅度明顯收窄,單票利潤實現環比提升。申萬宏源稱,公司單票利潤拐點出現,看好旺季提價帶動利潤復甦;安信證券表示,公司Q3件量增速高於行業,份額提升;單價同比持平,環比改善。

今日,北向資金淨流入137.56億元,其中滬股通淨流入73.82億元,深股通淨流入63.74億元。

展望後市,安信證券表示,展望四季度,預計仍將維持寬貨幣和結構性寬信用格局。具體配置上,建議收縮週期板塊配置,高估值高景氣的高端製造板塊分母端也有一定壓力,但中長期景氣度仍存。大消費板塊中,消費升級仍是長期主題,經過前期調整後目前估值也逐步可接受,具有一定配置價值。

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