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能源短缺席捲歐亞,刺激美天然氣期貨價飆升至7年半高點

美國天然氣價格於美東時間9月27日飆升至7年半的最高水平,交易員稱,由於天然氣和其他能源短缺席捲歐洲和亞洲,引發危機蔓延擔憂,導致對美國液化天然氣的需求增加。

10月份交割的天然氣期貨價格上漲11%,至5.706美元/MMBtu,這是自2014年2月以來的最高收盤價,也是自今年2月德克薩斯州遭遇極寒天氣衝擊以來的最大單日百分比漲幅。

在9月27日的盤中交易中,美國西南能源(SWN.US)、山脈資源集團(RRC.US)、Antero Resources Corp(AR.US)和卡伯特油氣(COG.US)均創下52周新高。

“全球飆漲的價格正在點燃市場情緒,”紐約能源對衝基金Again Capital的創始人john kilduff表示,並補充道,“作爲一種大宗商品,天然氣的價格正在被重新定價”,“既然我們已經達到了這些價格高點,再次這樣做將是很容易的。”

“市場開始意識到,我們可能面臨着天然氣的結構性短缺,”美國期貨公司PriceFutures分析師PhilFlynn表示。

政府數據顯示,美國的天然氣庫存比過去五年的平均水平低7%左右,但過去兩週,美國公用事業公司向庫存注入的天然氣數量高於往常。

Bloomberg表示,2022年3月的天然氣期貨價格相對於4月期貨的溢價已升至2005年以來的最高水平。美國的冬季一般是從11月開始到次年3月,夏季從4月開始。由於冬季需求難以預測,冬季天然氣期貨價格通常高於夏季。

交易商也在本週10月期權和期貨到期前平倉看跌倉位。

冬季的到來也推動天然氣的需求增加,這也是天然氣價格上漲的因素之一。

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