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《即日市評》內地經濟數據遜 恆指續跌 濠賭股急挫
受科網及濠賭股拖累下,港股今日持續向下。市場對經濟憂慮及美國民主黨提出上調企業稅,昨晚美股道指及納指各跌0.8%及0.5%。據報北韓向朝鮮半島東部海域發射不明飛行物體;執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率跌至1.284釐,美匯指數處92.5,美股道指期貨最新升81點或0.24%,納指期貨最新升0.3%。人行開展6,000億人幣一年期MLF操作,內地8月規模以上工業增加值按年升5.3%(低於市場預期增5.8%)、8月零售銷售按年升2.5%遠遜預期,而內地首八月城鎮固定資產投資按年升8.9%(原預期增9%),上證綜指全日跌6點或0.17%收3,656點、深證成指跌0.6%、內地創業板指數跌1.1%,滬深兩市成交額1.35萬億人民幣。 恆指低開192點,早段跌幅曾收窄至90點見25,411點,其後跌幅再度擴大,尾市低見24,990點,全日跌469點或1.8%,收25,033點,連跌三日(累跌1,172點或4.5%);國指跌145點或1.6%,收8,936點;恆生科技指數跌204點或3.1%,收6,298點。大市全日成交總額1,570.68億元,滬、深港通南下交易分別淨流入2.79億及5.5億元人民幣。 科網股向下,騰訊(00700.HK)及美團(03690.HK)全日股價各跌4.1%及4.5%。恆大系走個別,中國恆大(03333.HK)股價挫5.4%,恆大地產(06666.HK)股價彈近5.5%。 【科網股向下 賭股沽壓重】 濠賭股全線下挫,金沙中國(01928.HK)全日股價下瀉32.5%,銀河娛樂(00027.HK)跌20%,永利澳門(01128.HK)及美高梅中國(02282.HK)股價各下滑近29%及26.8%,而澳博(00880.HK)及新濠國際(00200.HK)各挫24%及20.1%。就澳門特區政府就博彩法修改將進行公衆諮詢,摩根大通發表報告表示,諮詢文本並無指出完成整個過程的時間表,該行料行業監管將更加嚴格,給特許經營商未來的資本管理和運營帶來了不確定性,如加強資本管制、直接監督操作、需加強問責等。 該行下調所有澳門博彩股股份的投資評級,由原來全是「增持」評級,降至「減持」或「中性」,因行業將面臨更多管理和日常運營更嚴格的要求。投資者將關注行業所面臨監管及執行情況,或會令市場下修對濠賭股的估值預測,直到行業的關鍵方向變得清晰爲止,但料行業趨勢今年內不太可能變得清晰。 【跌股千二隻 李寧蒙牛揚】 港股今日主板市寬續弱,主板股票的升跌比率爲13比30(上日爲12比30),下跌股份1,268只(跌幅2.7%);恆指成份股今日14只股份上升,下跌股份40只,升跌比率爲23比67(上日爲5比93);大市今日錄沽空241.71億元,佔可沽空股份成交1,350.85億元的17.893%(上日18.072%)。 部份內需股有支持,李寧(02331.HK)股價逆市升3.6%,蒙牛(02319.HK)股價升2.4%。裏昂發表報告表示,蒙牛乳業管理層近日參與該行的投資者電話會議,蒙牛管理層有信心通過改善產品組合,以實現2021財年介乎14%至16%(mid-teen)銷售增長目標,並在未來中期會進一步擴大利潤率。 裏昂引述蒙牛管理層指,2021財年銷售目標是實現增長介乎14%至16%,意味今年下半年將實現低兩位數的增長;蒙牛預計公司增長可高於行業,主要受到鮮奶、奶酪和冰淇淋業務推動。至於利潤率和成本方面,蒙牛管理層認爲,在產品和類別組合改進的推動下,毛利率仍有改進空間。
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