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郭思治: 大市雖創月內新高 惟交投卻稍見退縮
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市經過多天的整固後,昨天(7日)終初見突破,恆指昨早市先輕微高開44點至26,207點,其後曾略見拉鋸而低見26,135點,但由於沽壓並不明顯,加上維穩買盤再現,故整個大市卒在穩步中續推上,至26,458點方漸受規限,末段再見拉鋸,恆指最後報收26,353點,較上日升190點,全日總成交金額為1,448億元,從技術上看,由於恆指已升越2日之高位26,359點,故本月大市在先低後高之形態主導下,恆指暫是由1日之低位25,694點升至7日之高位26,458點,即月內之波幅已稍擴闊至764點,但由於一個月之高低位是不該同時出現於五個交易日之內,加上764點之波幅亦未能滿足月內之所需,故只要先低後高之形態不變,在本月餘下之交易日,恆指仍會候機進一步上尋月內之新高。 但有一點需留意,本周一(6日)大市之成交金額已縮減至1,463億元,到昨天則再進一步縮減至1448億元,在大市出現技術升破之時,惟成交金額卻並不相配,擔心在動力不配下,大市之升勢會漸受規限,況且,整個反彈市暫仍只靠騰訊(00700.HK),美團(03690.HK)及港交所(00388.HK)等主要恆指成份股去拉動,從形勢上看確有不足之感,故其他主要恆指成份股能否稍接力而上便頗成關鍵。 (筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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