郭思治: 大市處升後整固中 惟中資電力股及水泥股表現偏強
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市經過連升多天後,上周五(3日)終略見反覆,但相對整個反彈市所累積之升幅共達1778點計(8月20日之低位24,581點升至9月2日之高位26,359點),只屬高台消化及整固而已,從技術上看,以上周五恆指報收在25,901點計,暫仍穩守於10天線(25,679點)及20天線(25,861點)之上,故整個反彈之勢頭技術上該仍未完,再者,9月大市暫已初呈先低後高之形態,恆指暫是由1日之低位25,694點升至2日之高位26,359點,由於一個月之高低位是不該同時出現於兩個交易日之內,加上665點之波幅亦不能滿足月內之所需故在本月餘下之交易日,定必有更大之波幅點出現。
中資電力股表現偏強,華能(00902.HK)再創年內新高至4.59元,中國電力(02380.HK)亦創年內新高至3.46元,大唐發電(00991.HK)則創年內新高至1.56元,另華電國際(01071.HK)亦同樣創年內新高至3.32元,從走勢上看,由於上述四隻股份均是高收,故整個續尋頂之形態未變,似乎資金已開始流入較具防守性之傳統股份上,另外,一眾水泥股亦似已漸見升勢,海螺水泥(00914.HK)高收至46.3元,中國建材(03323.HK)亦高收至11.98元,至於華潤水泥(01313.HK)則高收至8.15元,單從走勢上看,似已開始進入欲試頂之形態中。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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