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郭思治: 大市似欲再次下試250天線(27,162點)
阿思達克 07-20 09:36
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨(19日)再度大幅急回,恆指早市先低開218點至27,786點,其後在沽壓一面倒主導下跌至27,397點方漸見喘定,即其時大市已急跌607點,由於跌勢過促,故大市稍見喘定並作技術後抽,但在買盤虛怯下,升幅並不明顯,恆指最後報收27,489點,較上日急跌514點,全日總成交金額為1,428億元,從走勢上看,由於恆指又再跌穿10天線(27,729點),故整個大市現又再重陷反覆欲試低位之弱態,而所指的低位,暫該為250天線(27,162點),惟此防線一旦失守,則另一個支持據點將退守至本月9日之低位26,861點。

大市昨日急劇逆轉的原因頗多,包括外圍疫情反彈,令旅遊業及經濟復甦的憧憬受打擊,另恆大(03333.HK)遭銀行申請財產凍結,加上通脹升溫,令企業營運成本上升,加上中美關係轉趨緊張等,在眾多不明因素影響下,市場氣氛當受衝擊,需留意的是,由於避險情緒正逐步升溫,故大市將會續往下試低位。

大市首次跌穿250天線(27,162點)可能只屬技術性跌破,但如再度跌穿則需小心,雖並不代表熊市已至,但至少需慎防後續之跌幅或會較明顯,由於市況越趨不明,故目前不宜貿然入市或溝貨。

(筆者為證監會持牌人)~

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