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植耀輝: 美股走勢似轉弱 港股維持區間上落
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,美股上週五(16日)回落,變種病毒繼續在全球擴散,加上對通脹之擔憂,芯片股亦表現欠佳,拖累美股表現。道指下跌近300點,標普500指數及納指亦分別下跌0.75%及0.8%。全周計,三大指數均錄得下跌,當中道指累跌0.5%,標普下跌約1%,納指則跌1.9%。

港股方面,雖然大部分藍籌表現一般,但在港交所(00388.HK)及小米(01810.HK)造好支持下,恆指最終仍能微升8點,收報28,004點。全周計,恆指上升660點或2.4%。

上文提到之港交所最多升超過5%,收市則仍能維持4%升幅。彭博引述消息指,中國計劃免除企業來港上市前,需要尋求內地網信辦批準之規定。如屬實的話,相信會有爲數不少之科技公司將轉至香港上市,港交所亦能受惠,持貨之投資者可繼續安心持有。至於小米則受惠於市場研究機構Canalys之統計,小米在今年第二季全球智能手機市場出貨量中,市佔率達到17%,超越蘋果(AAPL.US)成爲全球第二。其股價最終升近5%。

至於港股短期表現,基於科技股表現仍反覆,同時美股走勢似有所轉弱,預期恆指將繼續維持拉鋸格局不變。當然如A股能有好表現,則對港股仍會有相當支持,只是A股現時亦維持區間上落,預期恆指亦只會於27,500點至28,500點上落。

(筆者爲證監會持牌人,並未持有相關股份)

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恆指回試10天線水平支持

耀才研究部稱,上週五(16日)美股三大指數全線向下,並以接近全日低位收市,晶片股和銀行股受壓。美國密歇根大學7月消費者信心指數初值爲80.8,低於預期的86.5,通脹上升令消費氣氛轉差,受訪者更預計未來1年通脹率爲4.8%。同一時間,OPEC+達成8月及以後的縮減產量協議,減產力度將會減少,紐約期油一度跌至近每桶70美元水平,拖累了市場的氣氛。展望本週,美股多家藍籌公佈業績,包括IBM(IBM.US)、Netflix(NFLX.US)、聯合航空(UAL.US)、可口可樂(KO.US)、Verizon(VZ.US)、得州儀器(TXN.US)、英特爾(INTC.US)、AT&T(T.US)、Twitter(TWTR.US)、美國航空(AAL.US)、美國運通(AXP.US)等,留意外圍氣氛。港股方面,中國鋁業(02600.HK)、丘鈦科技(01478.HK)、康希諾生物(06185.HK)及IMAX CHINA(01970.HK)均發盈喜。

恆指目前於20天線即28,300點前止步,這水平屬於能否扭轉弱勢的關鍵假設恆指成功回升至該水平的話,則意味着重返自3月起的大型長方型區間底部,有條件上望頂部作上落市格局,首要支持位則看10天線27,758點。

(筆者爲證監會持牌人)~

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