郭思治: 大市能否再上試10天線 需視乎騰訊及友邦之表現而定
香港股票分析師協會副主席郭思治稱,大市昨(12日)再進一步反彈,惟升勢略受規限,恆指昨先高開328點至27,672點,其後再稍升至27,741點已漸受規限,由於買盤不繼,加上沽壓又開始滲著湧現,故整個大市卒開始反覆,而恆指更一度回落至27,420點方見喘定,其後大市一直在上述波幅中拉鋸,恆指最後報收27,515點,較上周五升170點,全日總成交金額為1,546億元,從走勢上看,以恆指昨報收於27,515點計,技術上已稍重越3月25日之低位27,505點,即是說,大市已略重越前小雙底,單從形態上看,大市該已稍呈回穩的訊號。
值得留意的是,大市自6月28日高位29,394點開始之小跌浪,至7月9日低位26,861點止計,在頭尾九個交易日內,累積之跌幅已達2,533點,而自26,861點開始之反彈,至昨天高位27,741點止計,大市已反彈880點,即大市已反彈跌幅2,533點之三分之一,如恆指能續穩企於27,500點左近,一旦買盤稍有積極,大市或可再進一步反彈,從而上試10天線(28,159點),談到此點,當需視乎騰訊(00700.HK)及友邦(01299.HK)之走勢能否轉勇而定。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
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