《即日市評》恆指終止連跌 騰訊、美團及安踏彈高
恆指連跌八個交易日(累瀉2,135點或7.3%)後,今日部份科網股有買盤支持,大市反覆回升。歐洲央行在進行18個月的戰略評估後,決定將通脹目標設定爲2%;市場擔心美國經濟復甦步伐,美股道指及納指各跌0.8%及0.7%;執筆之時美國十年期國債孳息率升至1.334釐,美匯指數處92.51;美股道指期貨最新升86點或0.27%,納指期貨最新升0.11%。內地6月CPI按年增1.1%(市場原預期增1.2%)、內地6月PPI按年增8.8%符預期。上證綜指全日跌1點或0.04%收3,524點、深證成指漲跌0.26%、內地創業板指數升下滑0.7%,滬深兩市成交額共1.13萬億人民幣。
恆指今日反覆上升,今早低開21點後,早市曾跌291點一度低見26,861點,其後曾上升297點見27,450點,全日升191點或0.7%,收27,344點;國指升62點或0.6%,收9,885點;恆生科技指數升107點或1.5%,收7,429點。大市全日成交總額1,867.94億元。滬、深港通南下交易錄得淨流入金額分別爲29.16億及22.58億元人民幣。餐飲股反彈,海底撈(06862.HK)升10.2%
恆指本週累跌965點或3.4%、國指本週累跌530點或5.1%、恆生科指本週累462跌點或5.9%。市場擔心美國經濟增長前景,週中資金涌向債市曾推低孳息率;市場再擔心對互聯網企業監管收緊持續,市監局週中公佈對互聯網領域違法實施經營者集中處罰,涉案企業各處罰50萬人幣,涉及阿裏巴巴的案件6宗,涉及騰訊的案件5宗,涉及蘇寧易購(002024.SZ)2宗,及美團(03690.HK)(北京三快科技)亦有一宗。
【終止連日跌」騰訊美團彈】
部份科網股回升,騰訊(00700.HK)盤中曾跌3.5%,其後輾輾回升,全日上揚近2%;美團反彈4.3%;但阿裏(09988.HK)全日下滑0.9%,快手(01024.HK)股價下挫4.5%收152.8元。摩根士丹利發表報告表示,與抖音相比,快手-W的增長故事未及預期,市佔率持續減少,將對公司貨幣化及盈利帶來負面影響,估值較同業有折讓,目標價由300元大幅降至130元,評級由「增持」降至「減持」。
中資體育用品股受捧,安踏(02020.HK)股價彈高6.9%收185.4元,李寧(02331.HK)搶升3.7%收91.7元。大和發表報告表示,於安踏網上投資者日上,公司透露將會持續加強跑步及籃球類別業務的發展,同時計劃開拓女性運動市場業務等,管理層目標零售銷售額於2020至2025年之年複合增長率爲18%至25%,即代表零售額將達700億至900億元人民幣,相應市佔率將增3至5個百分點。大和重申安踏「買入」評級,將其2021至2023年度每股盈利預測上調2%至5%,目標價由183.5元升至210元,以反映直銷零售業務較高增長的預期。
【安踏受追捧 長汽股價舞】
港股今日主板市寬改善,主板股票的升跌比率爲22比20(上日爲8比35);恆指成份股今日21只股份上升,下跌股份35只,升跌比率爲36比60(上日爲5比94);大市今日錄沽空259.6億元,佔可沽空股份成交1,618.57億元的16.039%(上日16.652%)。
部份汽車股有支持,廣汽(02238.HK)全日股價上揚5.8%,長汽(02333.HK)股價抽上8.1%。長汽公佈6月份汽車產量共計100,790臺按年增加20.8%;銷量總計100,664臺,增加22.7%。今年上半年,累計汽車產量604,659臺,銷量總計618,211臺,按年分別增加54.6%及56.5%。
中金指長汽6月銷量超預期,按年及按月表現大幅跑贏行業,料今年第三季至第四季新車上量有望帶動量價齊升,維持對長汽H股目標價35元。
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