植耀輝: 資金避險美股下跌 港股考驗250天線
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱，美股(8日)隔晚下跌，投資者關注Delta變種病毒對全球經濟復甦步伐帶來之影響，資金流入美債避險，10年期國債孳息率跌穿1.3釐，道指便一度大跌536點，其後跌幅收窄，最終道指下跌259點或0.75%，收報34,421點，標普500指數下跌37點或0.86%，收報4,320點，納指收報14,559點，下跌105點或0.72%。
至於港股，昨日在科技股及石油股等拖累下大跌超過800點，一度低見27,110點，尾市雖見反彈，但彈幅亦相當有限，最終收報27,153點，下跌807點，成交金額急增至2,052.6億元。成份股僅得3只錄得升幅，其餘股價均下跌，當中海底撈(06862.HK)、申洲國際(02313.HK)及美團(03690.HK)跌幅更超過6%，另外單是美團、騰訊(00700.HK)及阿裏巴巴(09988.HK)三隻股份已拖累恆指超過300點。經過昨日急跌，恆指年初至今已由升轉跌0.3%，至於國指及科技累積跌幅更達到8.5%及13.1%。
由於港股昨日先後失守27,700及27,500點水平，並進一步下試27,100點亦即250點線水平，以技術走勢而言利淡，若連27,100點亦告失守，相信後市將維持跌勢，尤其是恆指現時亦已正式跌破早前27,500至29,300點之區間，短期內續向下尋底機會相當高。投資者現階段宜持盈保泰，先保留實力待市況回穩再作部署也不遲。
(筆者爲證監會持牌人，持有騰訊股份)
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恆指能否守住牛熊分界線成關鍵
耀才研究部稱，隔晚(8日)美股三大指數全線下跌，道指盤中最多挫536點，收市跌幅收窄約一半。上週首次申領失業救濟人數增加2,000人，至37.3萬人，多過預期的35萬人；聯儲局宣佈從下週一(12日)開始出售手頭上持有的公司債。紐約聯儲銀行於聲明內指出，當局會有序及漸進出售手頭上持有的公司債，當局開始進行縮減量寬的動作，令市場避險資金繼續流入債市，美國10年期債息曾失守1.25釐，最低見1.246釐，再創四個月低位。中概股繼續受壓，滴滴環球(DIDI.US)跌5.88%，4天累計跌近40%，小鵬汽車(XPEV.US)挫3.54%。近日港股八連跌，科網股及醫藥股繼續受政策風險的陰霾影響，該版塊的走向將影響大市氣氛。北水會否有淨流入仍較關鍵。
恆指昨日低見27,110點，亦直接下試其250天線，14天RSI亦跌穿30水平進入超賣區間，目前這關口不容有失，假如沽壓持續，以恆指3月起的橫行區間即27,700至29,500起計，恆指最壞情況的量度跌幅將可跌至26,000點關口。
(筆者爲證監會持牌人)~
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