You are browsing the Hong Kong website, Regulated by Hong Kong SFC (CE number: BJA907). Investment is risky and you must be cautious when entering the market.
惠譽料內地三孩政策恐難大幅提高出生率
評級機構惠譽表示,內地政府允許一對夫婦可生育三個子女的政策恐難扭轉人口增速放緩趨勢。內地第七次全國人口普查結果顯示,儘管自2011年以來政府逐步取消了獨生子女政策,但人口增長仍然低迷。2010至2020年間內地人口年均增速是開始人口普查以來的最低值,而2020年的人口自然增長率則創下1960年以來的新低。0至14歲人口僅佔內地總人口的18%,低於世界平均水平,這意味著未來十年內地將出現勞動力萎縮的局面。

內地於1971年出台獨生子女政策,並從1980年起嚴格執行,此後在2011至2015年間逐步放開二孩生育——這一調整導致人口自然增長率略有回升,但政策效應從2017年開始減弱。2021年5月,政府宣布一對夫婦可生育三個子女並將推出配套支持措施。

然而,惠譽預期,新出台的人口政策恐難大幅提高出生率,原因是年輕夫婦(尤其是一、二線城市的年輕夫婦)持續面對房價及教育費用飆升的壓力,而且不少年輕人需要長時間工作。

Follow us
Find us on Facebook, Twitter , Instagram, and YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app!
Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements. Any calculations or images in the article are for illustrative purposes only.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please carefully consider your personal risk tolerance, and consult independent professional advice if necessary.
uSMART
Wealth Growth Made Easy
Open Account