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高盛料聯儲局2023年第三季開始加息 惟可能性僅略高於五成
阿思達克 06-18 09:29
高盛已將聯儲局在疫情後首次加息的時間由先前的2024年首季調整至2023年第三季,但認爲在2023年底前加息的可能性僅略高於50%,因通脹有可能低於預期,又或者在收緊刺激措施後經濟會出現大幅放緩。

高盛表示,聯儲局加息的門檻似乎較之前認爲的來得要低,聯邦公開市場委員會目前預計2023年會加息兩次,同時維持2023年核心個人消費支出(PCE)通脹中值在2.1%不變,意味着即使通脹僅略高於 2%,大多數聯邦公開市場委員會將支持利率穩步正常化。

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