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植耀輝: 通脹升溫無阻美股表現 中軟國際(00354.HK)可續持有
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱,雖然美國5月CPI數據超預期,並創下2008年8月最大增幅,不過10年期債息不升反跌,並跌至3月以來最低,隔晚(10日)對美股帶來支持。道指最終上升19點,收報34,466點,納指上升108點或0.78%,收報14,020點,值得一提的是標普500指數創歷史新高,收報4,239點,上升19點或0.47%。

至於港股昨日變化不大,恆指僅微跌4點,不過個別板塊則展現強勢,航運股升幅顯著,中遠海控(01919.HK)升12%,東方海外(00316.HK)亦升4%。在線教育股亦見資金追捧,新東方教育(09901.HK)升幅便達到19.4%。

隨著隔晚美債息回落,料會對港股或科技股會有支持。當然論走勢恆指已連續第七日下跌,雖然跌幅不大,但走勢似乎仍偏弱,且看今日能否扭轉近期弱勢。預期恆指將繼續於28,500至29,000點水平上落。

亦要跟進早前推介之中軟國際(00354.HK)之最新部署。該股過去兩個交易日表現理想,並已升抵筆者早前訂下13.5港元之水平。筆者早前提過之利好因素是否已反映在股價身上仍有待觀察,不過北水交投依然活躍,對股價亦會有正面支持,因此現水平如仍持貨的話,可先訂止賺位再繼續持有。

(筆者為證監會持牌人,並未持有相關股份)

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美10年債息回落 大市嘗試突破29,000點

耀才研究部稱,隔晚(10日)美股三大指數造好,道指曾抽升290點,不過收市只升19點;標指創出收市新高。美國5月份消費物價指數(CPI)按年升5%,較預期漲4.7%為高,核心CPI按年漲3.8%,為1992年以來最強,也超出預期的3.5%。不過市場並未有過份憂慮美聯儲可能需要調整刺激的貨幣政策,資金持續流入債市,推低美國10年期國債息率至1.43厘,創三個月低位。同時,美國就業市場進一步改善,首次申領失業救濟人數連跌6周,最新一周報37.6萬人,優於預期。港股ADR反彈至28,800水平,近日恆指未能突破29,000關口,昨日內地公佈新增人民幣貸款優於預期,留意A股表現,將對港股有所推動。

技術上看,恆指上周於29,500點關口遇壓回落,未能突破自三月起以來的長方形橫行格局,恆指更連續三天回試20天及50天線之支持,不過收市成功守住,目前首個支持位為保力加通道中軸20天線之支持,只要恆指未有跌穿此關,整固過後仍有望再挑戰高位。

(筆者為證監會持牌人)~

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