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穆迪:内地三孩政策凸显亚洲新兴市场老龄化风险
阿思达克 06-08 10:19
评级机构穆迪表示,虽然内地当局宣布推出三孩政策,但预期不太可能大幅改变全国出生率,意味着老龄化仍将是制约其信用的负面因素之一,指出除非生产率加速提高,否则中国和亚洲其他新兴市场的人口老龄化将损害经济增长、竞争力和财政收入。

穆迪副总裁/高级信用评级主任Martin Petch表示,近年来亚洲许多新兴经济体劳动力供应和投资快速增长,带动GDP历史性快速增长,但估计随着劳动年龄人口在未来十年萎缩,亚洲新兴经济体将更难维持之前的经济扩张速度,而应对人口老龄化亦为政府带来挑战。

穆迪预期,人工智能、物流和生物技术创新将有助於中国提高生产率,并减轻老龄化对经济的拖累。

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