植耀辉: 非农数据逊预期美股升 港股29,000点水平拉锯
耀才证券研究部总监植耀辉称,美股上周五(4日)走势不俗,5月非农就业数据逊预期,美汇转弱之余亦令投资者相信美国联储局仍有空间维持观望态度,加上科技股造好,令三大指数均能录得升幅。全周计三大指数亦保持升势,当中道指累升0.7%,标普500指数亦累升0.6%,连续第二个星期上升,至於纳指近期走势则更佳,虽然全周计升幅只得0.5%,但已是连升第三个星期。
至於港股,上周正式踏入6绝月,走势亦相当反覆,6月1日当日曾急升316点,但其後却连跌三个交易日,全周计港股则下跌206点,收报28,918点。虽然港股变化不大,但不少板块及相关概念股走势却相当波动,当中便包括医美概念及教育相关股。当然,後市一大指标依旧需视乎A股行情及北水状况,不过29,400点水平阻力不轻,故恒指要向上突破似乎机会不大,预期将继续於29,000点水平附近争持。
(笔者为证监会持牌人,并未持有相关股份)
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恒指关键支持为28,500点水平
耀才研究部称,上周五(4日)美股收市全线反弹,纳指扬逾1%。美国上月非农就业职位增长56万人,连续第二个月逊预期,上周的ADP私人职位增长则胜预期,较为参差的就业数据则纾缓了联储局收紧货币政策的忧虑,科技股弹幅较大。另一方面,美财长耶伦指当局大幅增加开支刺激经济,所以即使利率及通胀上升均为经济向好的後果,是一件正面的事。港股ADR反弹至29,000点水平,留意权重於蓝筹成份股有所加重的科网股表现能否继续支持市况。万洲(00288.HK)复牌,公司提出有条件自愿性现金要约,按每股7.8元之现金代价,较停牌前报价6.805元溢价14.62%,回购并注销最多19.17亿股股份,占股本约13%
技术上去,恒指本周於29,500点关口遇压回落,未能突破自三月3起以来的长方形横行格局,虽然10天线与100天线刚出现黄金交差,不过昨日已跌穿即市支持29,000点,需要留意20天线28,500点,即保力加通道中轴能否成功守住,假设该水平再度失守的话,恒指下试横行区间低部即27,700点的风险亦将增加。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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