植耀輝: 重磅股拖累恆指跌 瑞聲(02018.HK)走勢現突破可留意
耀才證券研究部總監植耀輝稱，港股昨日(3日)顯著下跌，恆指高開68點後無以為繼，其後跌幅逐步擴大，午後在友邦(01299.HK)及騰訊(00700.HK)等重磅藍籌拖累下恆指一度大跌395點，最終收報28,966點，下跌331點，大市成交1,389億元。騰訊、友邦、匯控(00005.HK)及建行(00939.HK)未來比重將下調，股份收市分別下跌2%、1.6%、0.7%及2%。
由於收市後恆指調整將生效，意味今日恆指仍可能會相當波動，加上美國今晚將公布就業數據，相信大市仍會較反覆。值得留意的是，A股走勢亦有所轉弱，而且大市29,400點阻力亦相當明顯，短期要留意下方28,700點水平能否守穩。另外，早前推介過之石藥(01093.HK)股價仍較硬淨，由於基本面仍樂觀，建議仍可繼續看好，目標仍以前高位，亦即看13.5元。
當然亦要談談瑞聲(02018.HK)表現。瑞聲昨日股價大升，最高升至53.2元，收報51.4元，上升5.2%。瑞聲昨日有好表現，可歸納有以下因素。其一是華為發布鴻蒙2.0系統，消息利好5G以至整個手機產業鏈股份表現；其次是蘋果公司將於下周舉行一年一度之開發者大會，氣氛有利蘋果概念股。第三是國際數據公司IDC預期，今年智能手機出貨量將達到13.8億台，按年增長7.7%。不過即使撇除有關因素，瑞聲早前公布之第一季業績表現相關不俗，毛利率改善情況優於預期，大行亦憧憬光學產品會有相當強勁增長，相信股價仍有力造好。
另外，從技術分析來看，瑞聲股價早前一直受制預49元水平，其後出現突破，後市若能守穩49元水平之上，走勢仍傾向樂觀，中線上望57元水平。
(筆者為證監會持牌人，持有騰訊及友邦股份)
***********
恆指跌穿首個支持位29,000點 慎防有更深調整
耀才研究部稱，美股昨(3日)反覆震盪，收市全線向下，納指跌幅居前。美國就業數據向好，5月份ADP私人職位大增97.8萬個，創近一年最大漲幅，並遠超預期的65萬個；同時首次申領失業救人數，按周減少2.1萬人至38.5萬人，略低預期，是疫情爆發以來首次跌破40萬關口。另外，5月份ISM服務業指數由4月的62.7，升至64，優於預期的63.2，創1997年有統計以來新高。
強勁的經濟數據則加深了聯儲局收緊貨幣政策的憂慮，道指盤中最多跌265點，不過有傳總統拜登政府將把企業最低稅率定為15%，而不是之前所建議提高至28%，大市曾收復失地倒升，不過尾段仍要輕微回吐。接下來聯儲局官員的公開發言相當關鍵，對於會否因應經濟數據向好而收緊以往的寬鬆政策，將對高估值的增長型股份有重大影響，小心大市有更深之調整，建議倉位上需作出平衡。
技術上，恆指本周於29,500點關口遇壓回落，未能突破自3月起以來的長方形橫行格局，雖然10天線與100天線剛出現黃金交差，不過昨日已跌穿即市支持29,000點，需要留意20天線28,500點，即保力加通道中軸能否成功守住。
(筆者為證監會持牌人)~
Follow us
Find us on
Facebook,
Twitter ,
Instagram, and
YouTube or frequent updates on all things investing.Have a financial topic you would like to discuss? Head over to the
uSMART Community to share your thoughts and insights about the market! Click the picture below to download and explore uSMART app！
Disclaimers
uSmart Securities Limited (“uSmart”) is based on its internal research and public third party information in preparation of this article. Although uSmart uses its best endeavours to ensure the content of this article is accurate, uSmart does not guarantee the accuracy, timeliness or completeness of the information of this article and is not responsible for any views/opinions/comments in this article. Opinions, forecasts and estimations reflect uSmart’s assessment as of the date of this article and are subject to change. uSmart has no obligation to notify you or anyone of any such changes. You must make independent analysis and judgment on any matters involved in this article. uSmart and any directors, officers, employees or agents of uSmart will not be liable for any loss or damage suffered by any person in reliance on any representation or omission in the content of this article. The content of the article is for reference only and does not constitute any offer, solicitation, recommendation, opinion or guarantee of any securities, virtual assets, financial products or instruments. Regulatory authorities may restrict the trading of virtual asset-related ETFs to only investors who meet specified requirements. Any calculations or images in the article are for illustrative purposes only.
Investment involves risks and the value and income from securities may rise or fall. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. Please carefully consider your personal risk tolerance, and consult independent professional advice if necessary.
