郭思治: 6月上旬市势或需稍作整固
香港股票分析师协会副主席郭思治称,今天(31日)是5月份最後一个交易日,同时又是即月场外衍生工具结算日,大市经过周来之一轮急升後,即月的期指转仓及结算等相关活动均是在高台进行,情况显示一众好仓大房已手执主控权,论形势该有利6月份之发展,照目前之市况看,如单论指数,5月当不算穷,故如无不可预料的利淡消息或事件出现,6月亦该不会穷,以恒指目前已成功升越29,000点计,如6月大市能稍作推升,目标已可直指30,000点大关。
本月大市在先低後高之形态主导下,恒指暂是由14日之低位27,715点升至28日之高位29,336点,即月内之波由已达1,621点,单论波幅该已可满足月内之所需,故今日大市能否再创月内新高已非关键,反之,有一点需留意,由於周来大市之上升步伐稍偏促,故踏进6月份後,大市於上旬时份可能会先略作整固,其时恒指能否续稳守於100天线(28,916点)及10天线(28,645点)之上便颇关键,但如6月大市先见低位,则形态上反而有利渐发展成後高,情况就如4月及5月一样。
(笔者为证监会持牌人)~
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