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《大行报告》中金料恒指季检下消费、医药及科技股可成赢家 估京东及网易等「染蓝」
阿思达克 05-21 12:27
中金近日发表报告表示,就恒生指数服务公司将於今日(21日)收市後公布首季审议结果,令市场将关注恒指、国指、恒生科指等指数成份股的部份调整,该行指基於恒指公司3月发布谘询结果,将逐步开始针对恒指以下几点作系统性优化,第一是指数扩容,2022年中前成份股数将由目前55只增至80只,最终远期目标为100只,料将在今次调整中开始逐步体现;第二是代表性提升,按7个行业组别选择成份股以保证行业内部的覆盖率,料消费、医药和科技业的覆盖度或将明显提升,成为最大赢家。

该行指,第三是近期新上市公司纳入可能性增加,主要於上市时间要求缩短至3个月;第四是龙头公司权重调整,将对恒指和国指成份股统一采用8%权重上限(目前普通成份股上限为10%,但二次上市和同不同权公司的上限为5%)。

中金指,由於上述提到一些关键指数优化措施尚未给出具体的编制方式法细节,因此此次预览中只能续用原有调整方法进行预测。综合而言,该行料京东(09618.HK)、网易(09999.HK)、华润啤酒(00291.HK)、中国飞鹤(06186.HK)、李宁(02331.HK)、信达生物(01801.HK)、信义玻璃(00868.HK)、微创医疗(00853.HK)、平安好医生(01833.HK)、复星国际(00656.HK)、信义光能(00968.HK)、威高股份(01066.HK)、康师傅(00322.HK)、阅文(00772.HK)、颐海国际(01579.HK)、滔搏(06110.HK)、中国旺旺(00151.HK)、海螺创业(00586.HK)和高鑫零售(06808.HK)等排名靠前,有可能成为被纳入恒指的潜在候选者。

该表示,从潜在权重变化上,基於现有指数成份股的实际权重,腾讯(00700.HK)、友邦(01299.HK)及汇控(00005.HK)的权重超过8%,分别为9.8%、9.2%及8.3%,可能会根据8%的权重上限被动下调,从而带来潜在被动资金流出。

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